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[1757] => 第三方支付
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[lastpost] => 2818179 柴犬:Shibarium 交易量暴跌 88%,背后原因是什么?(转) 1774754057 22301
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硬币的两面是运气和风险。
; m8 m* T F) Y! D; `' ^- L1 [运气和风险都是长尾事件,或者是个人投资者无法控制的不可预见的事件,对回报影响很大。
7 a/ Q5 j, [# D7 Y6 Y8 C5 G. u; J& u) T/ S) y+ Y# P
7 ?& Q3 l$ M/ c _# ]9 t0 z1 G4 q) J聪明的投资者非常注重降低风险,并会分散和/或对冲他们的投资组合。 ( w- k1 G+ k5 C9 k; Z* C
, W: p6 y9 T: s! O' K/ P/ j
# Q7 ]' H' e* d0 D, |! V) N然而,运气也会对回报产生同样的影响。世界上最成功的人非常幸运,在正确的时间出现在正确的地方。' @+ T- {: y( h, [0 J4 V
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/ \* }( Q9 P) o4 O: x& Q8 Z; d
例如,比尔•盖茨认为,如果他不在高中学习计算机知识,他就不会创造微软。/ @# R* ]/ g' N( e: y
4 F! u3 [; X7 J+ F) o+ `# M- U+ f7 x
4 S; }4 \) z6 h# m* W这些随机的运气往往会扭曲投资者的认知,使他们更倾向于幸存者偏差,导致他们试图复制那些真正不可复制的成功。
7 N) K) W' U! I, h4 ?2 z. e, A* i& f* A1 _) W0 U G0 ~+ H
# T# a; S- x4 H; s* @! }为了缓解这种情况,Morgan建议投资者尝试以他们真正能模仿的人或品质为例。
# {$ B+ ]) p! U2 R$ p9 z# s
. n$ W0 m/ ?& ^. V' I- O7 n6 n4 v2 Y0 J/ Y) p0 }
3 n3 q: q/ r' M! X6 f5 J
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7 Z* `9 V- B h0 j9 a- O6 {
每个人的看法就不一样吧 |
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) W2 I! e. u" x* E也是的呀,所以没运气的人注定不好 |
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% x0 k' I' z( _) y+ y4 T8 v; d
你这形容得很有道理 |
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