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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
4 M6 F/ L* _2 b: U2 s( o; z- X7 l( v8 G* E0 M C
5. 废话的不对称原则* h" d A) E4 |" a- P! T
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。" u% a7 `, |& @/ S
6 F; f6 |9 A; g
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。) Y# g' P- O) }" M
( {$ @9 G+ f: \% X( a0 o写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
' s8 Y1 i# d T* J
; Z" m* \' X5 P# k" ], [4 R每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。2 d' y0 K; }8 n6 H
# W W$ f6 V$ H/ n5 a5 l; @
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
A4 N' g9 W$ P& l L5 A
& K9 G, l( F' x, {1 [6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
& t3 }: Z( v4 T2 N D被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。5 n! M7 c( F5 v, }# S$ `2 F3 w& `) E
# M c+ n1 [0 v) X+ s5 K6 W$ w0 L不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。+ x$ F. m$ o5 S/ S0 T3 L7 D
& ]: `/ o. p2 A, r
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
- @( g) ]" b D) f
( x. f3 d0 p+ q( V& t想象一下罕见事件:" W8 K' E) R1 L7 `- z! M( R! X7 b
& J- N+ _$ m5 Q, A• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
: ]! B: @# Z/ c8 [) a6 x
# w/ `+ \% ]9 v, {• 核打击4 j9 e4 u+ i& V$ ^# F6 O& e5 J, Q* B
3 r0 ]' A$ r' I- o! K1 I# ~+ S1 @我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
9 d: J; Y) p$ I& o) @6 G: M$ }
' S4 |# q4 Q4 v3 P2 J7.二八定律0 O( {3 q! G' O9 Z! o" j
在币圈:/ d) I6 O% C+ ]. O
' X9 @) w2 a5 p/ v# l1 y0 _; E
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。7 H2 |4 R' ~2 \4 z7 }0 m& B
# z' Y6 P$ M9 i8 P D: i+ x80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
) I9 ?& i- O; y( B! F6 t+ V
3 y0 U( G. S4 u. K' |我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
* l% V7 I+ l% D* f8 s8 K8 B% ^, J* r/ S
8.网络效应7 i# T9 d. p) ?$ x- V* C8 L
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
" J0 A+ R( T% ?0 N
2 B7 a/ ~& X1 U8 @想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
0 F9 V9 c: p/ [5 y1 l" `2 @6 m, g1 o4 K! {* O4 o/ ^/ \
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
7 e( s2 b2 s$ J0 |; k
( [0 D8 x& s, v! V- L投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。( M% G6 J; q% i4 I, O' R
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