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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四$ Q, J/ ]& ~ R4 L$ o! M
5 k* T" R: i2 q" C" \4 t正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
3 E5 O4 B9 ^9 x; l( P' ~. z( q. `7 D: k! C0 M0 }. z# D
比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
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* p% O5 f K! |- Y6 j9 m0 J司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
% i/ M8 m& R) L' e3 L& n/ U P在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比6 f3 {! ?9 e, D3 u" q2 @
5 p. X$ a) u1 C特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金& Z: K; l. x& H1 p
5 Z/ ^7 O5 V! n Z1 e \5 F7 F(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。
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- x( Y! p, V. s! y+ f6 p 来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货8 F$ Y1 B: G0 y+ ]1 o
7 w5 e7 T2 V8 [- U6 @币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，4 T- j) a. l8 P p9 o
; \! _: g U" d1 C; P并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。# V! S% Q0 U1 Z) Z8 `: J5 p; j! Y$ F
% o+ Y, \* Z- L+ N+ U“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特! p4 a( V; G% T+ o2 v$ i: c0 F) z
1 i$ x, h& U% @币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价# _; N2 o) w& {9 W
1 w( E7 Q% a! l& p" ~( H格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。; P7 d0 Z5 ~. a* L( l l
: W6 Y3 g3 o+ T5 Z& E5 f6 t& ^, P4 W在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
' T( [' i* ?7 X' A1 }
; X9 G- O7 Y/ r, ]" n& M力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
) E8 r& E+ e/ _+ P& j' X7 {# q% v: s
2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
+ X' g! N( X( \% k9 j# o
9 Q% C0 K- R. D' K' o: v& K4 Z5 c自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到: z! ?8 W+ t/ f0 T% D
3 V) {1 o7 o; ?# G, F& J! b63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
$ b) `' v _( B. m* n0 U
& w/ }- v) k/ l8 W* c }“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
8 B9 q4 F8 {* z( l3 d8 i6 ~ ]
2 ?! {( K( ~: B9 b2 j: n4 A5 s; M降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
' t% C/ q2 r$ F. N4 y- F
, S: f7 d) O. x, S' ~会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
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