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[lastpost] => 2818097 金丰来:GameStop 比特币策略引关注（转） 1774651766 whywhy
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币的未来是否有被操纵的风险？你需要知道的转变（转）
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自疫情扰乱传统资产以来，比特币巨头一直在积极积累比特币。
- M! a; a# \- B4 ~# ^; V5 h这是否预示着大规模牛市的前兆？! z5 |4 M5 ?3 D8 ]2 v
比特币[BTC]突破10万美元，再次证明加密货币市场在第一季度的牛市中蓬勃发展。但这一次，这个六位数的里程碑背后是十年的变化。
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. y5 j" ?$ W5 [4 I: V% W. ^4 T7 `" C就在10年前，BTC的年初价格为314美元。快进到2025年，增长了29639% ；0 }( Z5 G( {9 q% t: w
& t' l2 V: E% E# X' G+ }
但这不仅仅是数字。AMBCrypto揭示了这一激增背后的隐藏因素——一个将重塑市场的因素。但这是好事还是坏事？
" i# |2 g/ q: V8 I! G4 ~1 H& P$ W' _+ }1 ^7 N& [$ p& Z
做好准备，一场重大冲击即将到来；4 R( R/ V% i% Y( Z- M- c7 r% L
尽管比特币鲸鱼只占网络的1.25%，但它们一直是帮助比特币打破主要心理目标的关键。3 C; m* _9 ?0 ~9 | h% z# j+ V
& D- h* B4 c9 T! ^5 D这一转变在2020-21年周期真正得到了体现，当时疫情后的繁荣推动投资者远离传统市场。! b& S: f0 ?3 f) ]8 s6 }
# X* \1 r# Q4 I4 `作为回应，BTC在2021年首次突破2万美元，持有超过1万BTC的地址达到15万。& p( R! _: T, y' z1 Z3 \, W
; P$ T- U Z; A7 q* `: Q这就是为什么当市场变得艰难时，散户投资者会转向这些HODLers寻求指导。! j8 U# M8 ?" X
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即使是10万美元的突破（截至本文撰写时）也发生在大玩家身上舀起来更多BTC，引发大规模零售资本的涌入.
8 h6 H/ g% b* |1 y
/ o1 b8 d6 X1 S% P8 \% X6 P但现在，围绕“中心化”的争论在比特币网络上愈演愈烈。一些人认为，随着更多的比特币集中在更少的人手中，市场可能会更容易受到突然波动的影响。: r( W! `! \: z
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但情况是这样的：鲸鱼移动的比特币数量已经下降到2016年以来从未见过的水平。换句话说，BTC流入交易所的速度在过去十年中大幅放缓。+ ~( Z1 N; @. a$ c; \$ J& D
" {- k! |& P5 R# @为什么这很重要？这挑战了比特币巨头正在操纵市场的观点。
; @1 C+ l. Z7 U+ k: V& v& v) V ]; A6 m& ]. s4 ^
事实上，随着鲸鱼积累更多的比特币，交易量放缓，我们可能处于比特币有史以来最大的供应冲击的边缘。
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比特币鲸鱼正在为2025年做准备& I5 x+ J8 }5 e) \0 Q
目前，加密货币市场正处于高度兴奋阶段，BTC在两周后收回了10.2万美元。市场内外的多种因素共同推动了这一激增。
+ U1 w4 o6 Z- e0 b: D' n& c, B
( x+ i3 ]# x# |$ e* ~7 q$ {; i然而，这一次的情况与上一个周期有所不同，当时由于经济担忧和美联储的谨慎立场，比特币在10.8万美元处挣扎 ；# E7 j! G8 b0 `. u
( x! C2 D2 {; Z% q
随着特朗普就职典礼的临近，第一季度看涨趋势的历史，以及大量资本从这两个方面涌入机构对于散户投资者来说，潜在的反弹可能会更高。* S3 L5 X3 w1 O1 a$ |4 |8 S9 M
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更重要的是，比特币鲸鱼对BTC作为一种价值储存表现出更强的信心。这一转变表明，价格剧烈波动的时代可能已经过去；0 \) w# ?! T! b
7 M, H+ [- _5 K t; J- G因此，随着比特币的分布变得更加稳定，其波动性正在稳步下降，为未来更大的周期奠定了基础。2 z7 u/ y4 @ K- R$ v
; b! l, w0 E% I: p2 C- k随着这一转变，BTC已准备好度过不可避免的2025年市场风暴事实上，它甚至可能将BTC定位为更安全的赌注，在未来一年可能会超过风险较高的资产。
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