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[lastpost] => 2801251 五年前的加密市场，其实比现在更健康（转） 1769615838 我也来辣
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。+ a; ^# N+ @ F/ _7 m( E2 ~
: k- E2 U% D6 n! A8 P" G) M( v由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。, Z6 q7 B8 b3 g
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比特币重新分配正在进行/ ^, U! n. d) O* X1 W
9 L6 z1 U2 a. i/ Y! s8 ~目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。, v8 P$ z1 p n1 I' r) B! {
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。# @3 o6 |0 W5 C
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。3 u3 d5 V0 M$ \; k) B1 S# k( q
! @7 a8 Q: B% |: }通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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" B4 `0 B0 v5 n5 {仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。$ s, e* `) U* j4 Q2 q, ?' |
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。. l' P e; T3 {0 ^7 i- d
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" ~- ^, O0 E6 S/ R3 l" G比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
( ~7 n0 k& c; }CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。 w' d2 B% m ~3 |2 n- m! Q8 J
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现货交易商调整
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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* U! E( |0 z8 O. [& V$ F仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。( v. T4 G( G5 u0 x- a
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。( k ?( |% v2 m( N
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