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[lastpost] => 2802038 比特币价格跌至9个月低点后,市场情绪转为看跌。(转) 1769791723 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境
/ k* ]+ Q" k4 z5 ^7 b% b% aStablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破. S. n9 B# n4 G/ P8 N3 C) r
似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
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5 C( a; P+ b9 r* y p" D# B1 p% D实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。3 t* f# r8 R, e$ n! A* v) I
: V* j% \6 U6 k9 g7 A$ e这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。' b" h: Z. w$ D A* ^" u# v
| ~9 F' P1 l在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。# P1 D& l; B% B/ x
5 g8 w: X0 p2 t# K+ R& Q
红色海洋中的四个幸存者) V w% x. m9 z: @) s3 _& i9 ^
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。
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简而言之,表现不佳。$ q9 N6 M. r: Q
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大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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' f, X5 ~' s0 V1 o. x1 a- S9 s自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
, [6 r6 E3 _6 x* _
& `4 z# Z, c. z* w# Z8 BAltcoin信誉的消失法案
' f3 E r! {3 f# c! w滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。5 i0 Q5 E3 c$ P
% K$ V! R9 S, x( S; J# @* S7 b5 _交易的势头最近也消失了。4 m8 A! [4 m H& D9 S# A4 H
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。, x, B' O9 m2 G; g. w; P; g
5 ]4 x. D8 G% Z9 Z! m这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。
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: S+ d: `) N' l5 T# o5 U; B十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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% E( K, s# v6 C" }2 N比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。7 m5 z1 |: G3 x6 r/ I
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当高峰转向警告时
* C1 r8 F* k0 q5 U6 l3 N' ^2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。6 c. h' b3 e" n" S- O5 {
8 C$ ]( V+ i' K比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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5 i: J7 w+ D6 p% C/ q6 Y这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。5 i, r0 W2 D* `% r4 A2 g7 q
4 i# @1 m: A, R* d! M每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
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比特币还是胸围?
" T! o+ ?7 m3 ?7 d存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。8 p) x% f& A5 d/ K9 S9 \2 d( L1 K
) F' s8 w* G: s: j就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。
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