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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切(转)
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升,比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。
$ J5 m }" U' q: ]$ u' f持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持,对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。
. V5 ?5 ]8 S! E* o特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。' k% k8 h* ?: N
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一方面,他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识,但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。
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0 |( I4 E+ `" m8 M0 r) R进入 比特币[BTC],在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高(ATH)。时机?简直乱糟糟的。3 J( }% H2 n* L2 d8 y. X
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现在,BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。9 Y1 m* @$ V( }" P
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但据 AMBCrypto 称,经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音,经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。
7 w: a) H9 G! B. C* `: y, P7 B2 A
2 g3 H7 P+ I" v' k- _/ KD这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡,聪明的投资者会利用它?. x) I D5 ~( M0 K' a
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比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验( A. ?; }: {3 V, `6 I
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。# s; Y2 ^9 q: a' Z! ^+ s
3 ]2 i5 f* P' S7 B. [: }* j& n+ g) `
从 6 月 1 日开始,恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。. D3 ?& V( B* g5 i i, N
' u+ [& D+ D' j+ Y& ]自然,比特币做出了反应,大幅下跌 3.79%,收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。
$ Z3 ?. j9 v0 R3 l
) Q5 h& s2 `/ oGlassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元,是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。, I% U5 N9 V" m0 x
9 `4 e, [( H2 o/ H按当前价格计算,这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益,因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。2 S( f6 N ]( p/ L. U0 G
3 [1 g8 R- G5 Y$ `$ x不过,由于流动性基础如此密集,且价格仅出现小幅下跌,此举可能不那么令人恐慌,而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。
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! H0 N/ e4 U. H( M q( `' l6 J% `正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。
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经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现$ d4 b' N. l' B- v3 ^* q1 ~! x
受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟,就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。
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% K+ I5 w6 E+ ]3 D针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头,美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在,但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议,市场并未等待解决方案。) y) O( u" L+ `# z1 V9 t& `
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反应如何?迅速而残酷。 E# y) {. t/ b6 H7 D
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短短五个交易日内,标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时,苹果延续了连续下跌的势头,过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。4 {' e8 A/ G4 A( u% G
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这有什么大不了的?随着股市遭受打击,企业资金可能会转向比特币。
' T U$ [' \! K6 S" e; s" U+ o; k! u' \& `3 H9 j( _
随着风险资本的流动,BTC 有望上涨,而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。
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