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[体育菠菜玩法规则] 平局排除法
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1#
平局排除法的理论来源于“双八预测平局法”,该方法是由英国人发明的一种预测平局概率的方法,因其需要统计不少于8场比赛的数据,因此要在联赛的后期才能发挥效用。
1 f: l9 r* b4 z$ U     在具体操作中,我们要完成三组统计数字:
% [- T, `: y0 Y7 D, [4 I* D     1、主队在过去8场主场比赛中平局的场数,和客队在过去8场客场比赛中平局的场数;(两者相加,得数A)
1 N# L5 n# i$ o$ O     2、主队在过去8场主场比赛中没能进球的场数,和客队在过去8场客场比赛中没能进球的场数;(两者相加得B)
& ^1 d, s8 I' a% f     3、主队在过去8场主场比赛中分出胜负的比赛场数,和客队在过去8场客场比赛中分出胜负的比赛场数;(两者相加得C)
( P1 x9 e% M' Z9 N; n: W' u5 S( b     然后,我们将B+C-A,最后的得数如果超过10,则出现平局的可能性就较小。举例说明如下。* Y3 F( d, M+ U( r# f* f
     
4 g, a; j# e& v& B% i     摩纳哥 2-0 索肖
% o- C$ d- R5 B+ W5 b  O     主队最近8场平局场次:1场 客队最近8场平局场次:2场 A=1+2=3
3 j" ]* t/ T4 K     主队最近8场无球场次:0场 客队最近8场无球场次:1场 B=0+1=1
6 g# [& D3 i+ L3 T     主队最近8场分胜负场次:7场 客队最近8场分胜负场次6场 C=7=6=13- Q" T& b0 ^1 J& i
     结论:1+13-3=11 大于10 平局概率较小
/ s0 k3 R4 c* e     , c  T* `2 q& }0 l4 L! u
     桑德兰 1-1 斯托克城  L: z  d: Q+ G& c* E6 ]
     主队最近8场平局场次:3场 客队最近8场平局场次:3场 A=3=3=6
7 O, x- T8 Q, {0 c" P8 s, H% F6 n     主队最近8场无球场次:1场 客队最近8场无球场次:1场 B=1+1=2
/ W% O/ P6 Y7 W7 u5 c8 a9 s     主队最近8场分胜负场次:5场 客队最近8场分胜负场次:5场 C=5=5=10
1 [8 B; U* A3 M0 ]! f     结论:2+10-6=6 小于10 平局概率较大
. T) j  f. z$ }2 c. `: {) `     
1 E3 C5 k7 l2 {: ^. f. e     建议对此方法与盘口分析结合,对上下盘有所倾向后,再结合双八测评法效果更为显著些。此方法实际应用在足彩的排除1或者单场走地大小球玩法较为适合,对于判断全场进球数或大小球玩法略有欠缺。
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2#
新人报道,学习学习,
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3#
感謝樓主的分享.第一次聽到..謝了
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4#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
算得出来庄不输死,就算有个七成准都关门,还是细心研究下实力吧
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5#
平局是随机的,看战一
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学习一下,多谢分享
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7#
新人来学习下,谢谢楼主。
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8#
谢谢楼主的心得分享!
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9#
谢谢楼主的心得分享!
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
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:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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