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[lastpost] => 2795816 从周期博弈到范式切换，下一个十年加密市场将如何定义？（转） 1767973033 我也来辣
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.15补仓 凌晨2点是否加息75基点 已无关紧要 即使不加 也会取消排除75基点
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五月cpi暴雷后、75基点呼声不断、
+ Z3 Z5 J+ @) [) T% M重点关注凌晨2点消息落地、
* A8 [: B: L5 g7 r3 }/ E但个人判断，即使7月依旧50基点。 5 C5 ?- A3 U; |( M
但大概率会取消排除更为激进的75基点实施。
$ A |- h4 z; P. i( e" Q6 \+ r3 Q三大股指及大饼都相继跌破5月横盘低点、
, K# a; V) T9 H# w% J- C) ]$ p5 L大饼一度试探两万点，以太千点关口。 7 o: F, [ V( |
个人倾向刺破！ 9 x: h$ L2 c, z9 S0 Z2 e
消息上、也大多为不利。 & P( \! U9 A) p9 e
coinbase大跌18%、裁员18%。
* a' {" ~! ^$ c0 o! Z i灰度、特斯拉、美团、萨尔瓦多等实力派、均出现巨额未实现亏损。
) i( j- P' X" n) V5 u4 c三箭资本疑似多次清算！ 6 C" j+ i' Y1 M3 {2 H& v$ s
机构尚且出现亏损、散户无须疑问。
2 V, V5 _. ` h; }0 \; |# U% e在近两天多次补充过、 , W# k3 H0 g0 Y- L
这样的环境下、
/ R3 J9 H5 v: K" V4 ^* b& j& _市场只能分为两种可能、
( ~9 Q% n" d2 l5 ~2 c6 s. F1弱势横盘、在局部区间震荡。 # U5 _. W' q1 q6 {+ d2 i
2继续恐慌蔓延破位、资金继续出逃。
' F& i7 T9 d% \抄底会有，但极度恐慌下，不具备形成持续性。 w' v9 _# Q0 a( V8 d& {
环境因素，也不具备大牛条件。
( g9 Z- a% t2 [) ?" m: n" C! M最好的情况，止跌横盘！ + B4 Y# u; @9 _# K p# s
而行情大面积好转，cpi是第一参考指标。
/ C/ S, Q& f7 V" Q- P. A在膨胀问题，急需得到控制期间。 " B/ Q* h+ V' M4 @/ k
加息抽水等重拳出击、
* a3 c; n2 q2 X/ |9 d又有牛短熊长之铁律，会有一段煎熬的时间。
' a- x1 N- p% ?" G但对周期现货者无妨、
4 y+ [) ?6 R, g' k- m（短期无论市场如何、未来依旧可期。69000不是终点。） 7 a5 J& W) I# U
附夜间至凌晨思路及点位、 ) l9 [* Y* P) _! s
思路、不抄底，不追弱势反抽。只做反弹高空。
3 U% C5 f+ s, M5 @夜间如50基点，但不排除75基点。 . j9 @9 ?- j' n$ N. _$ @1 m
是一码事、而75基点只会跌的更快！
7 ?* E8 c) m9 ?1 q: D; d点位、
1 o1 w2 W9 l( K9 v0 d8 |& C* P: c5 A大饼反弹至21200激进高空 补仓21450 防守21700 9 r: i/ z8 m2 w
目标下看20450-20000-19500
# Q( R/ e* p; w5 P9 \以太反弹至1125-1130高空 补仓1145 防守1155
% P0 j# w& R" v% v8 e3 f& U目标1060-1030-1000 破位再度下看百点。 " Z5 }9 ^& ~ c1 t3 E( i
目前环境是极为不利。 N5 v8 b9 R) X+ H& d/ E
除了被套选择割肉、想做T。前期或短期抄底，也会松动，选择更低点进场。 % F1 Q! `7 i5 {- Y1 N$ T8 R: \
这就造成了蔓延踩踏行情。 * @; {& x" A' F C' [1 C1 D( q% F
因为对短期重磅加息，不看好接下来几月走势。 0 ^$ E# ~$ d5 W. E7 X# {
一旦彻底走熊，做多共识大面积恢复，需要多个条件综合。但现在一项也不具备！ 6 s/ r% N0 ?* l h7 w" C- r
切记，现货勿割，没有必要。合适时机。 # Z8 ?' V6 k% s4 M8 M
余勋，会作出补充，补仓拉均价，亦或者进场。
/ y, A! ~ G$ ~4 T9 x0 ?+ r来源：金色财经 |
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