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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。
3 L ?$ p0 ?; j现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、 % r! o$ ]3 \1 b4 i
也不是cpi暴雷问题！
7 d; U6 Y) ^- i# X4 g
" k* m C3 @- N/ K' f
而是当本月最大利空落地后，市场依旧一泻千里。 \! i r, `! \6 @/ X4 V1 b& B
失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。
$ B" b7 j& b7 D6 }# |6 c+ S' z/ X2 O三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持，最终近20亿未偿还债务。 - k: e" n/ }9 d6 l) B# s3 X
市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题，
* K+ O' q- c+ V# G2 L2 W) p1 g& p市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。
" H" _. P5 ?0 R# Z2 D$ k$ _. k& y4 |而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇！ - |+ G$ f- m6 I' o Z- J
除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。 5 i; m2 J V% k' _, I, r6 x
直白的说， 6 O, J4 y& e7 v% k
市场借助这轮加息，重新洗牌。
) m1 q4 l M. v T下一轮牛市，周期会十分长。 ( n" y; E, @/ B( \" G
即使加息结束，69000高点，很难在下一轮牛市形成。
8 a8 S, e2 |, D但切记，即使是这样，现货也不建议割肉。 ' F1 a* ~& c1 c2 X6 H+ T! ^
被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。
* y, \4 B4 g7 `0 s' T短线不追空，不抄底，反弹空。 ) |: @* _* b: B2 Z6 _0 ?
跟趋势走，跌透为止。
" `- }5 M3 w. I) |- H- C& I老观点，周线实体阴线，未收下影。 9 a. ~. y- [: H; P. |: o% M j
下周铁定惯性下行，收阳概率极低。 ) r/ i" Q* v/ s2 v1 x2 y& ]8 k: ]
环境不允！氛围不允。利空之下，更无资金接力可能。 `. H. K! e5 U! V7 p W% [& ?
夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、
0 u: x; y+ {- e- q2 |, R3 Q1 |- E* P/ F% u大饼反弹至18900高空 1 n- Q5 z8 b P
补仓19100 防守19300
8 |6 _/ I8 |, g; k+ q1 n/ _目标18100-17950
. s F. G+ k# E+ Y& Y2 [破位17650
) d" o) ?5 s! Q, E0 A3 r持续下看至17000
4 h% b1 t7 j7 n, R# u以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018 ( ]% f* h0 v6 T- e7 `
防守1030
( M, e: }7 @: d目标910-890 J d( x6 K; R" k$ g$ |/ O$ `' }2 r
还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空，仍不晚。 8 a1 q0 P! j+ A5 Q4 O, @
熊市不言底，市场估值出现问题，新一轮洗牌。 9 p! Q& ?. r5 m# j
还有尾声机会。
8 c. O4 @8 c( {' c再晚一点，就只能做横盘箱体。 2 X5 o4 d3 `$ d Z" k1 P( x9 Y
来源：金色财经 |
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