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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。
; e6 _7 \, @8 T现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、
6 C5 l% D* a& s也不是cpi暴雷问题！
4 Y' Z2 |) ?: J6 @- [7 d
( \9 ~! i5 j I1 s/ S0 {6 h1 Y0 q而是当本月最大利空落地后，市场依旧一泻千里。 N; [5 u0 |0 U4 G: x! ]8 y" E
失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。
3 P R& ^* _( k8 |" M三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持，最终近20亿未偿还债务。 , ~; `6 c6 y3 w
市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题，
8 U) z8 g: X- f6 d; f! D: k5 y市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。
3 M: m$ \! z6 t, n2 Z而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇！ & P5 ^1 ~7 }) |9 g) n. }
除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。 ) T! k& N$ _; y5 p/ A) q
直白的说，
. A. r2 E1 E2 r* A市场借助这轮加息，重新洗牌。 2 N' B. I. T0 l4 ^3 W' Q6 M
下一轮牛市，周期会十分长。
4 d8 \8 t3 A& E. @/ @即使加息结束，69000高点，很难在下一轮牛市形成。 * ]0 C/ W7 t; l7 [6 V( T* Z
但切记，即使是这样，现货也不建议割肉。 ( Q U5 u) E/ R
被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。 + ?! Z! O+ \) ^5 K" J
短线不追空，不抄底，反弹空。
" s, [8 L& X5 _, f跟趋势走，跌透为止。 $ |+ n4 A5 }1 Y/ [3 E/ A l' M% p) o+ f
老观点，周线实体阴线，未收下影。
2 t. l6 p& @6 G3 ^4 V0 l下周铁定惯性下行，收阳概率极低。 & \2 c$ H4 ?. n5 H
环境不允！氛围不允。利空之下，更无资金接力可能。 7 j9 |- K( `0 W% e: M5 P
夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、
G3 F; a- f" H$ x5 J8 O+ U5 u大饼反弹至18900高空
/ ^2 o* F4 D- V; y补仓19100 防守19300 ' j* E/ q2 |. s8 e0 q
目标18100-17950 ! M/ @# `- v/ U% k i% |
破位17650
2 | E+ q' S8 e( ^- i# M0 x持续下看至17000 ; n' }! n) {+ C3 [0 B
以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018
, L8 c& f1 H" K1 k: C- |防守1030
. V( Q, j; m) ~7 G目标910-890
& W: F) h# p: }2 n& {; z还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空，仍不晚。 - {# P( ^% U& J9 r: K$ {, ]1 W9 z
熊市不言底，市场估值出现问题，新一轮洗牌。
4 X+ R2 E- S4 s5 j9 k( x还有尾声机会。
+ ]1 E1 y! I1 ]. M' X4 W再晚一点，就只能做横盘箱体。
3 y U- c. G- H q来源：金色财经 |
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