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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
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5. 废话的不对称原则; L* O; n \% w8 {$ ^
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。& n: E% R- \5 ]
$ j7 W2 L( i! W b7 d; ]回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
" V- z/ V1 F0 r0 ~& B! F+ O1 e4 Q, y" x/ Y
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
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每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
! M, w. y- J9 z( K% a0 X
2 A/ q& h0 d! G- J- A而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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, }9 F: F' b! v) q5 R5 X7 P6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)# a g( U# g4 x8 ^' @) u
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
2 q7 k- a; g7 s2 Y8 q
4 Z; v. b0 `# w不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
" j+ c0 Z; D( |% H0 x! {8 H. Z: O& m: N
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。. J P; h% N# D1 G0 V: B& g
. _ s& n2 R4 C. ]7 s
想象一下罕见事件:. R3 {: n9 |" m* a1 m% s
5 u2 ^9 W* r8 ^, |& e• 中本聪的钱包苏醒) g( ]8 o* D4 T( i e5 _
5 Y* e1 T$ u# z8 L, f• 核打击: d3 m/ H; f+ E# q9 ~+ U' @0 u
- B) c9 b# K. @) T, U我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
( E, f# B! k4 M/ @/ o1 l. g) ]/ z) H: @* Z: j* ]! j& K0 E
7.二八定律/ O7 w$ o6 |3 Y" Z3 ~
在币圈:8 q. Y1 {& J) I+ D' h8 T
. |, K; S* w0 S/ U1 d+ B+ }( i80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
: x" y; k6 V3 p
( t0 P; Q" I/ i+ V5 [$ B, x) R" \80%的利润被20%的人拿走。6 E+ A& l$ n4 I3 |/ u/ _
& L' m0 }0 v. F$ w' @5 d我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。5 `5 l$ E7 I P n) q
: d1 W* ^+ b! `( t
8.网络效应
- Y5 P4 {4 s& \7 |' M产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
; D9 B$ a8 z9 a. j
+ A1 {+ N' q$ I! h* k+ O想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
# s4 f! c% M( e$ P# w6 [( U: w4 e! ^4 F" j0 \) R( }+ F3 Z# g/ E
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
( l( x0 h9 Q& ~+ S4 _ y
9 U% d- s* S& P( j投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。! A. J( A ]$ ?! _7 P: n
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