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量化宽松、债务和负实际利率0 J7 q. Z. c2 I. t+ S$ n
1. 量化宽松政策被认为是生产更多的货币单位，而这种做法在过去是通货膨胀的原因。: s5 @$ @5 q0 z* X4 }* U1 D
2. 债务和负实际利率也是当前经济环境下的重要问题，ZF债务规模庞大且负债累累，而实际利率为负意味着存款者的购买力在下降。
; W- j+ r2 w, E, m7 G7 j% h! F1 V! _ B1 a
黄金作为财富储备* ~5 V2 q& @ A# O6 Y
1. 黄金在人们对购买力下降感到恐惧时表现良好，尤其是在过去40年中购买力相对稳定的情况下。; V; z- W3 M: L0 Z- N( W) M; v
2. 黄金的市场份额目前仅占储蓄和投资产品的半个百分点，远低于过去几十年的均值。$ x. [6 ^9 b( @
3. 预计黄金市场份额将回归均值，即增加四倍，从而引发对这种资产的需求增加。2 F# L' [6 e2 O2 X
3 F! @/ l6 l+ y- R% r4 {加密货币与黄金的比较! ]/ @1 E9 s r, n6 o* `
1. 加密货币与黄金在功能和投资组合中的角色上存在差异，因此它们并不直接竞争。6 J4 ~5 _1 L/ C" m" |
2. 加密货币被认为是一种匿名交换媒介，随着其受欢迎程度的增加，其效用也将增加。# p5 L9 U1 i z' J3 r0 e
3. 黄金则更多地被视为财富储备，其价值在于长期保值和避险特性。
$ D6 a: J! H3 a5 H9 U' p4. 在全球储蓄和投资资产总额约为750万亿美元的背景下，加密货币的市值仅约为1万亿美元，因此从整体上看，它们并不构成黄金的竞争对手。5 Y, V+ \6 w1 o- Z! j# ^
8 `2 T! H& i6 s" I6 t黄金在当前环境下的前景5 g/ a) Z% o" W5 A, c, w* U
1. 随着非货币性利率上升，存款产品和短期ZF债券等标准存款产品的吸引力增加。9 y: C/ E3 K) k0 p/ X& F% y% q# C
2. 相对于债券市场的相对强势以及大型投资者认为美联储有可能实现软着陆的信念，黄金在短期内可能面临挑战。) {2 H% d! [; F& Z" q$ q+ _% o
3. 作者认为，黄金在近期可能面临挑战，但他个人继续购买黄金，将其视为一种保险策略。; n' a$ A9 s" ] x1 Q" A% V/ l" \* S
0 s# O0 l- r! K m R7 ?
虽然每个资产类别都有自己的特点和价值，但在当前的经济环境下，投资者应该认识到黄金、加密货币和其他投资资产之间的差异，并基于自己的风险承受能力和投资目标做出明智的决策。 Y( ^6 u4 {: k( \% Z
1 Z% G6 {( [3 N" t |
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