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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明0 _! M& G* b' _ I2 M7 o
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。" k4 t/ C& l5 j9 q! L6 |
且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
6 U7 k" U; A' Z$ p$ U6 a! J/ a官员预计：2024将降息3次0 U$ I% n9 W" g4 R: i
虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季5 }0 {5 h6 r+ q: q' W3 m" ?
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也- w* {' m& r: K( c: _; F3 c9 P
已经开始讨论降息的时机。
& M; a. I( J/ ]! X/ J主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
7 v+ D" C: c" d7 s走高。
7 u! Q1 g' w+ K( [- l$ w! \且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓
9 G. |/ i6 a* S) {% f. r5 Q) y7 }解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。 x5 n% _) @, D: l) L' e
比特币冲破4.3万
7 f9 K v" y6 f1 @0 Q受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。7 Z/ @; f; A: l- h
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。) s' }9 N Z# d6 S- r t' Z
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
y/ R6 V8 r4 k0 a" V美股四大指数齐扬
: E7 }* H/ A3 W/ w回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：0 ^- L! P+ \6 T5 G0 y* a& S' g" z7 l
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点$ v1 R6 Q- x" c* c) v# r' B2 C9 n
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点2 t; k: i5 h1 Y/ U, l" g" _. ]
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
# T+ T& ]# J1 p! P8 \3 j" y" s费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点: s! [% k7 l% F5 {
美国10年债殖利率跌破4%2 R$ ^- M5 |, l! o8 g! s, L6 I' n
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。$ g2 b/ r( K( _) b C
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将3 @; M; o2 r6 o% u& {( K
跌到更接近3%水平。1 a6 M2 _0 f2 A
2 v6 B) v- L( ^2 G& {
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