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为什么耐心是做人的基本品质
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人们往往以为靠投资为生很浪漫,总是有做出重大决策的关头和赢取大奖并改变命运的巅峰时刻。现实则完全不同。要想成功,玩家需要非常努力,具备快速学习能力,并拥有铁的纪律。无论今天你是从事什么行业,耐心一样是你需要拥有的基本品质,本文将解释其中的原因。
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了解博彩心理与拥有确实消息及使用可靠的博彩公司一样重要。每个人往往因为不同的原因而博彩;我们为什么博彩,这个问题的答案有多种,但不管动机如何,如果你想要稳定的利润,就需要遵守某些规则。
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$ b- A0 I* w5 F$ ^5 g* W# x为什么我们需要耐心:耐心 - 即接受或容忍延迟、问题或痛苦,而不会因此变得烦躁或焦虑 ;它是博彩赢利的关键,却经常被忽视。拥有可靠的博彩公司,能够计算预期值和战胜收盘显然是重要的,但是在可能受随机和运气影响的环境中,玩家也需要耐心等待。当然,总会在某一时刻,掷硬币和轮盘转轮之类的结果会持平。同样,如果玩家的优势大于博彩公司的利润,那么随机性和运气(在某个时刻)就会相互抵消。要实现这种期待,就要避免限制样本大小,而这需要的正是耐心。
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要成为赢利玩家靠运气还是实力文章中也重点讲述了为什么耐心是博彩中的一个基本品质。例:一个有实力但运气不好的扑克玩家在玩了100,000手之后,可能总结果仍会是损失。当然,这是一个极端的例子,但是其实即使你有优势,仍然需要准备好耐心等待积极的结果,明白这一点非常重要。
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一种认知偏差是耐心可以帮助玩家控制,这是双曲线贴现 - 即在获得立即回报和长期较大回报之间倾向于选择立即回报。考虑投注方法时或许最能说明这个概念,事实上不同的博彩方式适合不同的方法。即使有很大的破产风险,一些玩家仍喜欢速战速决赢大奖,一下子投注最大资金。他们亏损后不断下注以试图赢回所有以前的投注。但是,比例投注和固定投注方法都会大大降低甚至消除风险 - 那么为什么大家不都用这些方法呢?
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如果我们相信理性选择理论,我们做的每个决定都会基于最大化自身优势并最小化损失的假设。但是,博彩并不总是如此。如果一名玩家想投注10元,他常用的博彩公司提供2.22的赔率,但其他家的赔率是2.25(获胜时赢利差为0.30元),他们会换博彩公司吗?他们可能会换,也可能不会。但如果同一个玩家面对同样的选择,不过这次他要投注的金额是100,000元,那么他们可能更倾向于换至较高赔率的公司(多赢3,000元)。但在这两种情况下,玩家都有机会最大限度地发挥其优势吗?认真的玩家知道价值(即更好的赔率)有多重要,不管其影响有多么小。他们知道有时候需要额外的努力才能找到理想的价值,更好的赔率再加上耐心,他们会获利更多。
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简而言之,博彩玩家需要耐心等待,需要“识大局”。如果你有积极的预期值但仍然受到损失,你需要明白,这仅仅是将会产生赢利的更大的样本里的一连串的损失。 博彩就是要获得超过博彩公司的优势,找到积极预期值,了解利润抽水,从而清楚自己的投注成本。不过,除了“获胜公式”,你还需要有足够的耐心去等待期望的结果。最后要记得博彩不是抽奖,并不会使你一夜暴富,不过长期的日积夜累一样能使你实现财富自由。
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