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[lastpost] => 2809698 比特币做市商如何将一次例行调整演变成向 6 万美元的暴跌（转） 1772162237 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四/ H( A& j/ y; |$ z8 Y( d
9 f5 r; y- S" b0 t. }正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置0 ~- e' ]2 J! P% [5 O0 h( {
+ h9 q2 `5 o4 K# b比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
! w" [% j* e+ }0 F" |3 S
@9 h" T, H8 x' ~5 B, e6 ~司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
' P) [" z$ {, ~ w& [- w在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比4 `3 f5 n! o6 S. i3 a6 ?" v Q
, A9 U' p: A4 p$ \+ N- N |& c特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
$ u9 b" s [: j6 Y: \
6 [* y' q+ R4 ^(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。
6 J+ {' Z8 o) n( }- o" O" P. ^: Q* J# ?5 X D2 P5 I; r
来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货' y |7 Z# |2 c
$ E6 v. ~. H! ]3 d) n) N
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，
, |' A& V0 |5 u0 X6 K
/ E+ P/ M, {" \% i. x& P% k/ g并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
% t" S7 `3 d. f8 w. k- K& n3 O' ^6 S3 }% T) |- N( J
“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特/ K, i1 c) C8 }- U' [4 C2 b- E
- d d7 Q/ r3 Q r
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
$ [' g' k, o7 a5 u P
2 H( d# `# m3 M( i2 t5 T8 M2 n格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。* |: S+ c0 O7 v; o5 D" @4 |
- g6 R+ ^5 r2 O) O1 H5 x在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
+ X, E+ ] e4 c) W' X! q2 U' K4 a
2 K& F! y* ~/ B0 H; b力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，6 h7 j I3 i4 E" v3 Q: \( J. F
?3 w- B1 i) X# A
2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
; @% o- j$ w: M* W1 Z0 t8 i! |5 C+ ?( I- B& A
自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
: s, }6 U/ m+ O9 D" ^
4 |, p+ @: i) e; Q6 q% o: H63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。) i6 ~3 |# L6 O" w
2 {! F& _3 ?, Y3 o( _, \) `4 V' B“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下: {' V7 r+ _! h& S9 b
1 K0 R( r+ G0 M; V降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该: E& g) K% g% i" q4 k7 P
2 {/ x' U- N; z4 t
会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。6 u- f% d1 i+ X, E5 W6 }, m; p
) N, @7 D3 ]# B6 g6 y
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