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[打法交流]
玩双色球防骗技巧----“一码中蓝”,搁你头上你晕不晕?(转)
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玩双色球防骗技巧----“一码中蓝”,搁你头上你晕不晕?嘀嘀嘀”,短信来了。% Q/ o0 J/ n6 q5 ]: T# J
打开一看:“彩票公司回报彩民,向您透露本期双色球蓝号:15。请勿外传,机会只此一次,请善加把握。”
% J. L& z( H# x0 `' N你嗤之以鼻:“切,哪来的骗子!”
: {, y8 v, x) t6 w% M; u! F K一开奖,你傻眼了:蓝球15。
7 x4 V3 A9 E7 Z7 o, Q, V& Y4 L大腿拍烂了也来不及了!我怎么就没相信人家呢!彩票公司直接告诉我号码了我咋就没信呢!早知道我买它十万注蓝球15哇!
4 L h9 h! e, j2 n, P) K还说人家是骗子,人家开奖之前告诉我号码,就一个15,一开就中了,人家哪里骗我了! q: a4 k( c( b- b6 z8 U& {
于是,你疯了一般后悔、痛恨自己错失良机。3 n6 x" c v1 \( |
再过几分钟,你的想法发生了变化,刚才的悔恨已经变成了希望----要是它再给我发一次该多好!
) S' q2 G+ R( T- h+ i0 }这时电话打过来了:“恭喜您中奖,蓝球15您打了多少倍?”& V+ {1 ?) Z' t9 p, w
你捶胸顿足,求对方再告诉你下期的蓝号。
% V! }( X3 h2 s+ l+ }% i对方犹豫不决,你主动提出给人家好处。
, U) _) i1 [& e$ u! d$ a于是,用一万块钱买了下期的蓝号。
9 y1 a; R/ G5 \他告诉你10号。# p/ i% f, K& ~# j! x
接下来呢………………
# _+ b/ F- q5 e. P, r1 S/ W' E# _………………………………
5 w! T/ F+ ?* l……………………………………7 C7 U" x* R' g! ^3 B
你倾家荡产买的蓝球10,全折了。8 f7 G! t, X1 m* Z* E+ v+ ?
明明它就是骗子嘛!
( _8 I3 j' W8 e- v- t可是,他那个蓝球15是怎么准的呢?! J. w1 V) d! X5 ^7 x
这就是幸存者偏差。你看它只看到一个点,而他面对的却是16万个随机目标。( W4 A+ p. G5 Y
他给这16万个电话号码发短信,第一万个人它告诉蓝球1;第二万个人它告诉蓝球2;第三万个人它告诉蓝球3……你是第十五万个人中的一员,他告诉你15。, D1 v+ i) A" L6 |
一开奖,必定有一万个人会发现自己收到的“唯一的蓝号”中奖了。
5 H _; [8 r/ n+ u# A7 m这一万个人中可能有二百个恰好是彩民。8 D9 j) h! a3 {, P: T, y( Y. x
这二百个彩民当中肯定可以涌现出一两个像你一样“头脑灵活”的人。1 k% i+ U5 Q& e* E- u
于是,你幸运地成为“一码中蓝”的上钩者。" u$ @. @; W- e2 V4 J E3 |
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