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[lastpost] => 2650984 【e世博】5月19日投注流水21076元(单日流水) 1716132536 豪开心
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通常所说的赔率,是指欧洲博彩公司开出的胜、平、负赔率,习惯上叫做欧赔,其实目前亚洲各博彩公司一般也都在传统的亚洲让球盘之外,同时开出这种胜、平、负赔率,在亚洲博彩公司而言,习惯上对这种赔率叫做标准盘。因为国内足彩采用的是胜、平、负竟猜方式,因此赔率(或称标准盘)的参考性和指导性意义要远比亚洲让球盘来得更加直接,更加明确。从最基本的一点来说,亚洲让球盘只有上下盘之分,由于存在着让球,因此也就存在着较大的赢球输盘或者输球赢盘的可能性,在判定一个投注方向之后,经常会有两个选择需要包含在内,或者是31,或者是10,这种指导性意义就远不如赔率所传达的信息。
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亚洲让球盘的让球及水位变动在更大程度上所反映的是博彩公司在受注之后为了平衡上下盘受注金额所采取的引导倾向,无论是澳门博彩还是印尼庄家,一般都不愿意参与直接与投注者对赌,操盘手更多的操盘手法还是通过水位变化来平衡上下盘投注金额。因此水位的变动,特别是临场时水位的变动在相当程度上并不直接反映博彩公司对于比赛胜负的判断,而是反映博彩公司上下盘受注的冷与热。所谓的“大热必死”在临场的时候就往往不会成为绝对的真理。# t0 b# R; N) h
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赔率的变化虽然也会反映博彩公司受注之后为了平衡投注金额所采取的引导性手段,但由于赔率有三个投注点可供选择,因此赔率变化更多的还是会反映博彩公司对比赛本身胜平负的判断,尤其是对于一些诸如威廉希尔和立博这样的大博彩公司来说,他们一般开出赔率的时间较晚,但是一旦开出赔率,就基本上不会再进行改变,因此他们的赔率无疑更加直接反映出他们对于比赛本身的判断。
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各家博彩公司的赔率都有自己的独特体系,任何两家博彩公司的相同赔率都无法放在一起进行直接比较,相同的赔率组合在不同的博彩公司往往表达不同的含义。例如常见的2.50 2.90 2.62这一赔率组合,在威廉希尔的体系中打成平局的可能性占了几乎60%,在立博的体系中则有80%的机会是比赛分出胜负,而在Premierbet的体系中则有将近70%的可能是客队取胜。
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同一间博彩公司的相同赔率在不同的联赛中也经常反映出不同的结果。例如威廉希尔的一组常见赔率:2.0 3.2 3.2,在英超中多预示着低赔方不败,而在德甲中则意味着双方必分胜负。这些微妙的差异如果不是对赔率有一定的经验积累,就很难发现其中的玄机。, m. c @. t/ Z: |6 b! f" I
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