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[打法交流] 骰宝投注单点，收益率的计算（转载）
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1#
以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题
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: o- b$ x" b$ b9 O1 h, F( b因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始../ U3 Y5 D# [5 A
7 M! \/ j2 a' Z5 ^3 X6 `: o4 G
假设直线A上有N个点，取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E，2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N0 b- J+ L) I. v) ^: N+ d  ?( L+ S

* ?* j. M; v* K! u& [1 J; ]那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%9 U7 Q7 s! `# R- z
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豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%5 m4 U  [! t/ S& k3 `$ T0 ^

+ M1 z6 ], A  d# C% _连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方（大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下）
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在是压大小问题.
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# v( {5 }, s/ q2 L! z: y; S根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..* B7 l7 t4 X0 `8 K& y

1 _9 L: _% O: H, G由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的1 o3 h& l2 s, S- D/ Q

" ?! E# Z- r# L5 ]/ k心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。/ S) r$ i5 j6 ^: O

/ V4 i' x" ]% f6 @5 c) O$ P也就是说，压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。+ J$ d; T' p& P3 B

) {! Q# `; g. ?3 l% C3 B并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了
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& x% P' [! D7 z2 o由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。
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根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家！远离DB！1 c7 j* T- u; U9 y/ @. c
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还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百) }( H. h& @& M" \" i. H
+ m: H7 s. p8 N2 o
今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了
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偶决定在也不赌了~真的...6 @, Y6 y% q* @5 \
& u# |: D& c/ h4 V2 `1 _7 {. _2 K

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2#
玩彩票我看就压和值大小好了

0 回复 举报

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3#
筛宝的游戏我什么有玩过的了。

0 回复 举报

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4#
赢到的时候就该收手，全部游戏长玩就是完了

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
楼主遇到这种必输的局，运气也是非常糟糕了

0 回复 举报

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6#
没有人会喜欢必输的，我也亦不例外。

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7#
抽奖的过程不首要，结果才关键。

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8#
投注最终还是要看收米的,经过什么的不是重点,也是期许楼主好运了

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9#
必输的局什么我必须是不会搞的啦

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10#
希望抽奖时给力的运气可以来临了的哦。

0 回复 举报

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11#
今次游戏在论坛的运气还是值得肯定的.

0 回复 举报

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12#
必输的东西也是要来学学了啊，如此的东西还是值得学习的

0 回复 举报

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13#
这个游戏能自己好好掌握，也是很好的。

0 回复 举报

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14#
我又是来瞅瞅看这个投注最终怎样了啊,看起来还行

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15#
有幸运的话抽奖就是一个很不错的奖励了。

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16#
必输什么的是不讲道理的，就好比必赢的菠菜那样，干脆看开点

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17#
这次的投注成果我也是不知道该说些什么好了,企望继续奋斗吧

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