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以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题
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, B+ N) |. @5 d# E9 [因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始.. n$ i: D( y1 t
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假设直线A上有N个点,取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E,2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N0 G* _; u+ X% R, K- @$ L# u& C! b
t) M3 d# J( Q$ j# y& W |( v. d, s那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%
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豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%1 u/ m& E7 n+ o
, M k C3 ?* }0 h( f连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方(大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下)
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8 p' V9 K- B7 ?在是压大小问题.
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4 l! I" V+ \# `( U根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..
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由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的0 E* t* ~& U$ {+ X2 u- J6 Z6 ~
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心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。
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8 t! p6 {0 h5 W$ i, |5 Z也就是说,压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。5 Z1 q( y! e# k0 c2 t
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并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了
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/ a1 m3 c4 I7 P" Q由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。
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根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家!远离DB!
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4 \; W/ U8 V. G! b3 |1 \还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百
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今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了
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偶决定在也不赌了~真的...
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