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[lastpost] => 2796861 传奇交易员彼得·布兰特刚刚否定了比特币最大的看跌信号。（转） 1768320410 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。8 f5 W6 k/ z2 C$ y$ D! [% L
1 a7 U; `" z" i由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。( g: j; g3 B# a2 G7 _8 j) W% | `
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比特币重新分配正在进行
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' }2 h/ Z7 E) `3 y j& k目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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7 j5 a8 b9 k1 L0 x0 x目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。: d2 Y7 U4 b' P, C- }
6 A7 x, r0 K& k5 b3 ?% p! e6 [- m然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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/ e- K$ c: I2 J; P( z- t0 Z根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。) R3 ^+ [5 | C1 w, P, w( v
3 J" B# }) Q# x2 S; q, H通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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5 B4 k6 @" I" K: r- I/ k当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
. \( f/ E" P" ^3 r5 M3 s% B8 Y& VCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。
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& P) Q1 v$ n- w( B; C. s2 c本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。( A) u! S B' ]$ d. n
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。9 N+ {% Q& l1 B; j% N& E
6 m1 |6 y' z x2 ] R! j7 H现货交易商调整9 P- @* D/ p# A+ `
! z' }( k U# E0 w& T) A现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。, ]: V' ?$ g# P1 t. }
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。+ \) S: I! y+ ]
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/ f: T) L! h3 Z4 D" f6 \+ Q) @; ~如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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