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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境( u4 a' \5 W) | G
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
3 }0 T$ d1 [4 Y0 {+ h似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
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' v- ?3 Y; V$ T( X8 f$ M实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。* j% l8 X2 g% e- [- E1 A
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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红色海洋中的四个幸存者
( T( S' [$ Z1 d: @根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。0 }2 N0 B6 @% d+ Z8 K9 x
! ^( T( w& u) b, w简而言之,表现不佳。4 C3 N# c" F/ S1 j( [; H5 V7 {
- g! u% O/ X/ d9 k6 I9 D+ E大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。% ]; ]6 U9 c5 `: z, A7 p: f; X
0 S" q# [' a# t( v! j3 J; l3 O相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。5 E% b7 `( g* I4 n8 o& R+ d
5 d1 O8 @- P% E: o6 a, E6 Y: t; pAltcoin信誉的消失法案
2 r' ^( h2 G9 `! Y. m滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。
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4 }8 D( a% o" W交易的势头最近也消失了。
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。( z9 J. N2 @7 v# G- f" n' u
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这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。( E8 g8 g7 ~3 K( N3 J& J
V) h7 w* E/ L3 I9 m+ D比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。
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当高峰转向警告时
1 a! K# J4 Y- b2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。6 I ~# f, @" I) n5 p
6 k }" e S& {: [7 @: O比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。' A2 d3 \( E7 p& {' t( F$ P! [
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每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。9 K. v; |9 p- D
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比特币还是胸围?7 K* X: o+ I& }1 h& x- I
存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。
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