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[lastpost] => 2795816 从周期博弈到范式切换，下一个十年加密市场将如何定义？（转） 1768006093 22301
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当前离线
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天策币:
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BTC链上资本流入，2009-2024 15年 4350亿刀，2024-2025 1.5年 6250亿刀。别看这轮价格相对上一轮涨的不多，但是已实现市值却大幅上涨: b5 U* X& C6 H3 b% T, d* d
，可见本轮周期换手量之大！
' C* c( B& H9 O. w所以说，这一轮称之为换庄，似乎并不为过。
$ a. Y m3 j8 N1 ?为什么会是这样子，以下是猜测：! o# |( \: c& s. L" u( u& N. ^
流通供应量的变化
$ ~, Y" x6 }! K" a3 f. i; |如果价格上涨不多，但市值大幅增加，这可能是因为流通中的比特币数量增加了。市值是价格与流通中比特币总量的乘积。如果更多的比特币进入流通，即使价格没有显著上涨，市值也会增加。
6 l/ a/ Y& M) m R _6 b* A7 L投资者结构的变化
$ A [# l- K* h5 N如果
! v W P# x3 w/ U$ z' k更多的机构投资者或高净值个人进入市场. a, W/ ~4 I; x
，他们的购买行为可能会增加市值。这些投资者通常进行大量投资，因此即使价格没有显著上涨，市值也会因为大量买入而增加。
4 T6 l/ ]% d8 q" Z; }( v! h市场深度和流动性的提高
) n# H1 y; f- p5 f/ Z- d+ t! ~随着市场的发展，比特币的深度和流动性可能会提高。这意味着更大的交易量可以在不引起价格剧烈波动的情况下发生，从而推动市值上升。
. Q. \4 B9 x/ o' H1 A投资者信心的增加9 A6 G$ Z( x8 d" r( A' {1 H, x7 {
如果投资者对比特币的信心增加，他们可能愿意为每个比特币支付更高的价格，即使价格上涨的绝对幅度不大，市值也会增加。
e) U" ~" u( T9 a( \: t* q使用场景和应用的增加
' e9 a+ e: U8 x# l, u比特币使用场景和应用的增加可以提高其需求和价值，从而增加市值。例如，更多的商家接受比特币支付，或者比特币被用作价值存储手段。4 ]+ ]# T4 b2 |5 P1 \$ S( d6 @) p# |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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这轮BTC换庄，市值大涨，流通量增加是关键。支持更多机构投资者进场 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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