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[虚拟币交流]
比特币本周将面临价值 230 亿美元的巨额期权到期。(转)
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价值约236亿美元的比特币(比特币)期权将于12月26日星期五到期,这将是历史上规模最大的比特币期权到期日。
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& R2 v9 N# I; h/ m4 ]6 A7 T更具体地说,未平仓合约数据CoinGlass截至12月23日,呼叫中心活动高度集中。选项介于 10 万美元至 12 万美元之间,表明许多交易员正在为进一步上涨做准备。# K8 c3 k# }, V$ H9 b3 P/ _
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不利的一面是,看跌期权集中在 85,000 美元附近,表明关键支撑位正受到密切关注。所谓的“最大痛点”,即期权持有者可能遭受最大损失的价格,接近 96,000 美元。7 L% z a F3 g' ?
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按行权价划分的比特币未平仓合约量。数据来源:CoinGlass7 ^1 V" u( h3 D0 `0 @# V% L
& n+ R3 J' l9 j5 B为了更直观地了解情况,今年的 236 亿美元可以与去年的 198 亿美元和 2023 年的 110 亿美元进行比较。
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比特币最重要的事件之一
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$ A/ ^: w5 K! t1 g7 L, s5 ^& P尽管到期日规模巨大,但目前的仓位布局仍可视为建设性策略。具体而言,看跌期权与看涨期权的比例为0.38,因此交易者似乎更倾向于寻求上涨机会而非下跌保护。9 D$ C6 N( E( _5 C
# k _' R7 ^% d8 o( r. ]5 n! t截至发稿时,比特币交易价格接近 87,800 美元,当日下跌 2.38%。但由于比特币在主要期权到期前往往波动较大,因此一旦合约到期、未平仓合约重置,价格很可能出现新的剧烈波动。
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6 m0 j, N/ w# X7 R2 S比特币24小时价格。
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7 ~# \* d# P+ Q( D2 U- `鉴于此次事件的规模,即使临近到期日价格出现小幅波动,也可能引发剧烈波动,因为交易员会平仓并解除对冲。+ e% T( B# n) v. ?5 x; g
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值得注意的是,此次交易的时机恰逢假期周,而假期周通常是市场流动性较弱的时期。换句话说,大额订单可能会比平时更剧烈地影响价格。/ V. H& J6 ^) N$ @6 N8 y
. c' R, u* d3 H: `5 R4 A# h s4 o( f最终,这些惊人的数字进一步印证了市场已经变得多么受机构驱动,衍生品流动越来越左右价格走势,无论价格朝哪个方向发展。# R } G7 S8 i& I7 S# J
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这波期权到期真是刺激,96万那块要是破了,不少人都得心慌慌啊 |
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这波期权大战感觉要爆,96k附近估计又要血洗一波, |
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这到期量级确实够震撼,关键价位附近筹码扎堆,得盯紧了 |
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这期权的规模确实够吓人,关键看能不能守住10万美金附近了 |
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