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2026 年开局加密市场现韧性反弹，比特币领涨主流加密资产
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比推消息，进入 2026 年 1 月首周，加密货币市场整体走强，比特币及多种主流资产从 2025 年末的深度回调中明显修复。比特币在去年收官阶段累计下跌约 6%、未能兑现传统四年周期预期后，于 1 月 4 日重新站上 9 万美元这一关键心理关口。
分析指出，8.8 万美元区域在假期低流动性环境中成功构成强支撑，叠加现货 ETF 资金回流，市场情绪由恐慌转向谨慎乐观。截至周一早间，比特币运行于 9.2 万美元上方，100 小时均线维持多头结构，下一重要阻力位指向 9.5 万美元。比特币企稳也对整体市场形成带动效应，以太坊、XRP 等资产同步小幅反弹，机构资金开始为新财年进行再平衡。
宏观层面，通胀放缓与美国经济韧性构成重要顺风因素。尽管 2025 年减半行情未如期爆发，但市场结构已转向以机构资金为主导，波动性与情绪化交易明显下降。稳定币与美债挂钩的扩张，被视为国际资金重新流入加密体系的重要通道。
展望 2026 年，多数分析师维持中长期乐观判断，认为在机构持续配置、交易所可用供给收紧的背景下，比特币有望逐步迈向 12 万—15 万美元区间。短期内，市场仍可能在 1 月经历震荡整理，但只要价格守住 9.15 万美元关键支撑位，一季度冲击历史新高的路径仍然打开。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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