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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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( d& G1 j2 n2 j
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。* V* t" W0 B" f$ X& [ l0 j$ m
, B! ]4 f. x1 F这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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L& ?3 W0 p0 m! R' P" f$ a, g为什么？
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& N1 n9 Y( y* \0 k9 y1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。7 P6 l4 A' ?8 K1 K" G. {) }
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。4 _' ^) J$ A9 n$ S1 [) b3 B d7 z
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。+ N4 K0 D7 f# I3 V9 a& I n
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4. s. T9 f e- y7 ], I+ y- M
第一把输，你没有了。/ U, V' J8 i/ B1 c
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。, ^! x' G* r) u, Y( h" r
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。/ b- C/ X) C) S( K2 `/ P1 u3 V* W
…………无限下去。
: D* m2 i [. O清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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0 x J) J2 h( G6 K; s6 {! [这就是总是输的原因。。
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。( Y `4 f, P8 M4 `9 ]
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。$ f4 \7 n3 O0 {4 ^
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但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
4 s& L# K+ P% H, J; R* M8 @' Z6 G. j( O. w4 w* z( [9 ^7 M
人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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