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[虚拟币资讯]
加密市场本轮“从牛转熊”的内在原因 coinbase解析
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金融市场本质上是一台巨大的信息处理机器，因为它会影响数百万个人买家和卖家的决定。或者正如本杰明·格雷厄姆所说——“在短期内，市场是一台投票机。” 截至 2022 年 6 月，美国股市已下跌约 20%，大约 10 万亿美元蒸发了，然而对于美国股民来说，抛售似乎仍未达到历史低点，这意味着严重程度可能还会进一步加剧。 ; G6 C2 x* C* m; ?4 D. U$ h
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与此同时，加密货币已经下跌了近 60%，即 1.7 万亿美元蒸发了。不过这一跌幅与 2017 年熊市相比仍是小巫见大巫，因为 2017 年牛市高峰后下跌了 87% 的总市值。 8 ~- H& Y. d# V. U6 U6 ]3 H
BTC、ETH 和纳斯达克均在 11 月见顶，标准普尔 500 指数在 12 月底见顶，那么过去的两个月里经济发生了什么变化？要了解这种市场低迷，最好从股票和加密货币在 2020 年经历的历史性牛市开始时开始分析。
2 F: D* X% |5 v进入 2020 年，比特币从 2018/19 加密低谷深度反弹，从 7,500 美元上涨至近 10,000 美元。与此同时，标准普尔和纳斯达克指数也都创下了历史新高。 + ] O& K) @* \6 X. l
然后，COVID-19 疫情来了。
7 h% |- N$ J/ B4 v8 h$ d+ K2020 年 3 月：COVID 冲击
/ w9 @4 i8 g; |" y6 g: Z2020 年 3 月 12 日，世界卫生组织宣布新冠病毒为大流行病，世界各国政府将不得不进入封锁状态。随着 COVID-19 的爆发，很明显，全球经济没有为应对冲击做好充分准备，导致几乎所有市场陷入恐慌。 $ O& T; T# ~% C5 u* ~% b
标准普尔和纳斯达克指数均下跌约 30 %，加密市场受到的冲击更大（绝对值），BTC 一度跌破 4,000 美元关口，市值缩水 60% 以上。 ! A5 [% G+ u3 Q, A& P
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简而言之，COVID-19 疫情让惊慌失措的投资者选择抛售，导致所有流动性市场急剧下跌。 ; m( K$ D5 x* I5 I9 d3 j! r
然后，美联储介入了。
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