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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
; a/ Q& E% g4 o; @行情补充、 0 w1 U0 e( B% k- h# W
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
; F6 O9 N0 I- D* H _7 A市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 3 a7 ~7 F) ~" r) `3 [
关于疑问、一一回复。 ; q# G$ K+ n6 Y7 }
今天为何跌这么多,何时能抄底!
6 N4 e' r! P- S5 V' K* W- H1 a1 k5 }# `/ ]/ @
首先就个人的主观来说、
7 R# {5 s' i+ J! C' P2 |/ @对这个市场,余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
0 R1 A, r* |$ m7 M8 X% A) D5 D极度憧憬市场的未来!
0 R% {5 Q% b$ P9 b4 U但信仰在环境zc面前下,不值一提、
" H r1 S4 {- ~7 S; u) X3 |( \最不济,要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
) L# H" l7 r: i9 Z( |7 N3 e而当下,或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 4 Q" o5 k8 A/ P) ^1 W+ p6 Z" ~
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 % x: Z0 a$ u- ~
转点就在CPI稳定,或出现下降。
# j; ~' | t) e2 |* Q: N其次出现降息,和停止抽水。 5 }0 Z0 }7 N* _- o+ s5 x
(这是最精准的抄底时机,)
! o/ ] H' g2 u为什么会跌、 4 p' _) x- h6 ^
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水,或延长周期抽水。 0 F* L% P4 b! ]2 }
2本月14-15议息,提前预判会更鹰派,提前消化。
6 b5 @6 v2 [! a$ a' l. |: r" @% Z3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 " [. w7 x* m, i- ~% C" S2 w
综上造成的下跌、
t" ~$ e; ?5 }这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
- m# T' ?& d& o# j也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
( _0 Y* W" e/ A: N4 t. }4 F' l9 W熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
, d/ \: P6 E; Z% e+ x3 v来决定行情是否好转。
4 ~ q. j+ c$ Z' D2 r2 G/ n2 h至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 8 M- `" R) R6 {& w
在熊市阶段,出现暴力反弹,可能性为0.
; z8 I* m. ~+ Q# R2 ?短线反弹即空,短期来看是硬道理。
0 v6 Q3 a% ?4 ]- M z周二开始会议、cpi压力,绝对更是鹰派言论、
+ u" y1 R5 S" P5 S; K" L那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
& L2 {+ l7 Y' q5 D# O7 x看好近期,大饼形成超级支撑,与上月横盘一致。 ; D7 d/ S0 R$ L3 {! [4 I
日内大饼反弹、 ( O8 d1 Y" @7 P1 t# N
26150高空 9 {7 o+ Z z [: k. R: ~7 x8 H
26350补仓 ( t; i1 }' G$ v. f7 S* L
26550防守 4 ~: W8 ]- _! L0 I- U0 d3 P
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 3 C$ P5 ?4 S% d( A, h. m# S* L
以太反弹
4 n5 C9 K W' w4 ^' O% H9 a1380高空
' m3 `! H6 b8 X& C a1400补仓
% ? E, {) {7 l, O1420防守
( h& R$ m2 h9 A6 W, p6 i目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
: x' A K/ {6 W' u; d( K* Z附言、 4 P6 Z: `, U' v
许多因牛市慕名而来,却惨败于熊市阶段。 5 d$ X) w# y0 U# c) a' p" R. T; C. d" ^
是正常现象, 0 f1 M. r/ A# b" x/ u3 v$ R8 D4 P0 K
合格的交易者,会进行埋伏布局,现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
' G, [) @' |4 o6 R# a6 b对于市场、依旧未来可期。 B1 C. A, g0 i4 J+ Q( }, R
大饼的价值,纵使震荡再过剧烈。
5 W4 c' [9 S- m7 e7 g8 J: x上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
: H0 Q% O% D" b- E1 g) i5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
+ d' Y% k: ~ t% `. g6月、已开始50基点,和抽水。
) x- q* R6 F- m相信七月公布时,会较理想。
# N: b3 P3 v9 b但现阶段,要承受的住。
. T. S( v1 P, [/ Y2 N最后再强调、现货勿割。 : U2 L: c+ e% W! k5 }. ^
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 ( \7 x: w4 H' ]9 K
个人斗胆一言,依旧是激进布局时机。 ( `) Y9 `# D9 s, V0 n
稳健可于7月cpi公布,再做考虑。
( k! c7 s5 E. H# D' H9 y5 ~这个市场,
" X; r3 `. W" b2 n; ~9 f消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
, q) m( z5 I$ c* u最后就是合理的仓位配置,及良好的心态。 ! P7 ~9 E @$ u
切记学会消息分析,不与市场进行对立。 . U+ w$ R2 {- d
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点,引以为戒。
/ b& L3 [4 K5 V" G: U( x来源:金色财经 |
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