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[虚拟币资讯]
冷风说币：跌跌不休 20000能否撑得住？2022.06.14
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市场消息
# Y7 u \, y) ~1 E+ W/ U截至6月13日23时，过去24小时合计超21.7万人比特币交易爆仓，爆仓总金额达9.55亿美元（约合64.49亿元人民币）。 ; S& Q ^: |3 X9 {/ r6 {
6月13日，本周第一个交易日，目光所及之处，几乎所有的金融交易市场都是绿色的。黑色星期一，突然而来！
9 J6 f% u/ W7 O4 `! @ L: M$ R比特币和以太坊价格双双暴跌，其中，以太坊价格跌幅超过20%，比特币价格跌幅超过16%。数据显示，加密货币总市值跌破1万亿美元，创下2021年2月以来新低。最近24小时内，加密货币市场逾20万个仓位爆仓，爆仓金额接近65亿元人民币。 . J8 P, ]: _) T" F% H
为什么币市、股市又逢黑色星期一？
- p9 l' ~: b! {3 k7 K/ e: n上周五晚上8:30，美国公布了让市场诧异的通胀数据，CPI达到惊人的8.6%。消息一经公布，欧洲股市马上跌幅放大，美股盘前期货指数立刻跳水，最终美股三大股指全线下跌，道琼斯工业指数下跌880个点，纳斯达克指数下跌3.5%。 , A+ Q- G% P* v( w5 p
说一千道一万，周一全球股市、币市的暴跌只不过是上周五深夜美国股市下跌的延续！暴跌的关键原因就一个——美国的通胀，和即将的加息。
6 s! c' d3 E. D0 r# H现在市场更担心的是因为通胀率越来越高，通胀时间越来越长，美联储会议会不会飞出黑天鹅。
3 f$ y0 t$ k+ t$ {8 ^: Z本来加息50个基点是在市场的预期范围之内，可是万一美联储宣布加息75个基点，都将给市场带来难以承受之重，毕竟美联储缩表模式已经开启。
% o2 _: c! Q! ~1 S/ p当前市场利空消息漫天飞舞，但接下来最最需要关注的重磅消息，无疑就是美联储会议之后的加息决定。 7 b+ h1 C/ A! ^7 S# J* k
行情分析4 f; }4 `& b# K, m# E' q s! {% Y
BTC短线支撑20000-21500美元，短线压力24500-25500美元。支撑压力现在这个行情随便看看就好，除了2万也不是什么重要点位。昨天是名符其实的黑色星期一，美股大跌，币市爆跌。实质上是全世界在为美国买单，以太坊只是放大了跌势而已。大饼无论是K线，均线，还是MACD指标都已经陷入空头趋势之中，短线或有短暂反弹，但参与的价值不高，250月均线在19838美元，250周均线在19816美元，个人认为这波调整大概率会奔着它们而去，19000-21000美元区间见底可能性较大。从时间周期来看，大饼的筑底，一般是先是日线插针，然后围绕线震荡3-4个月形成底部，如果这个模型有效，7-10月份可能会磨底期，大概率会在年底筑底成功。
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ETH短线支撑900-1100美元，短线压力1300-1400美元。以太遭受恶意做空，是成为市场大跌的真正的罪魁祸首，震源不除，跌势不止。操作上高空为主，但要设好止损。主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。
O+ q, p: Z( g( I' D! j* {5 h3 _. k7 L
% b9 L6 f" I) m3 T+ ^1 Y. O山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调，存量资金搏弈，局部式行情，而这局部就是山寨币。目前不具备做多的环境，大家还是观望为主。 来源：金色财经 |
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