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[虚拟币资讯]
冷风说币：震荡筑底 还是一泻千里？2022.06.17
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市场消息
( R. p: D `$ {6 J9 u加密货币市场最大的对冲基金之一，三箭资本（Three Arrows Capital）未能满足追加保证金要求，部分仓位被强平。 . A3 Y \: @) S4 J8 H0 d% z
当市场的目光都被美联储加息所吸引之时，关于三箭资本资不抵债、身陷流动性危机似乎直接被市场忽视了。
! ^2 A0 b* Z3 H' X市场传言，受近期不断暴跌的影响，三箭资本出现了运营和偿付问题，甚至由于未能满足追加保证金要求，部分仓位被强平。自LUNA 崩盘以来，三箭资本先后向 FTX、Bitmex 转入巨额 ETH，同时在抛售stETH。其创始人Zhu Su表示，“我们正在与有关方面进行沟通，并致力于将问题解决。” $ Q) t- |* I, v. L/ K( [# c% s
消息传出，“猛料”和猜测不断，三箭深陷迷局。 . B0 q+ r: A2 M" s
三箭资本是全球加密市场贷方最大的机构之一，也是最活跃的资本之一。在加密市场繁盛时，机构都会高调重仓和高声唱多，而如今不断暴跌和持续低迷的行情，就连机构投资者都在排队等待清算。这样看来，我们普通投资者账户受损也在情理之中
5 m u' B. W0 j+ s6 O/ `: y+ w市场陷入恐慌已成事实，截止发稿，ETH 已经跌破 1060 USDT。面对市场种种的猜测，三箭资本至今还没有任何官方回复。
C0 r3 W- F( z6 E对此，加密KOL江卓尔就认为三箭必死。三箭最终是否会成为币圈的雷曼，我们不知道，但我们知道加密市场不是第一次面临这样的棘手危机。每次危机之后，市场总会触底反弹。 $ @) l" {0 m' m }$ o
切记在这段时间内，千万不要轻易判断短线和重仓抄底。 * u: j" z, {1 E
行情分析+ n' ~+ U$ X+ b" H8 ~
BTC短线支撑19000-20000美元，短线压力21500-22500美元。美股全线下滑，大饼继续下跌，发稿时离低点一步之遥。冷风昨天还在提醒大家:今年是币圈小年，不要有非份之想。现在进入磨底期，千万不要有速胜的想法。但冷风认为19000-20000美元一定会有支撑。因为250月均线，250周均线和2017年的牛市高点都在19800美元附近，历史的积奠，不可能一点作用不起。因此操作上继续做空存在一定风险，在支撑区域择机适当做多为主。个人认为不破不立，破了2万美元反弹随时可能会来。
# y1 s* n8 Z/ P不要再在这种行情里面亏钱了，都多少次了怎么着也要长点记性。冷风也说了，加息落地只是情绪反弹，75个点本身就是绝对的利空，昨天也是提示大家高空为主，这都是能赚到钱的。 1 f/ Y, `7 D" i; s
目前的走势，第三次测试2万支撑，现在看有所支撑，1小时级别macd也有所背离，短线上应该可以看个小反弹，高度不乐观，底部形态没有形成，不要想着抄底。做单的朋友关注压力附近高空即可。
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, e7 r8 q3 A' ~$ l) v+ FETH短线支撑900-1000美元，短线压力1150-1250美元。以太昨天出现短暂超跌反弹，但持续性较差。由于以太坊的自身生态问题，以太接下来的行情会沦为配角，跟随大饼波动的可能性更大。主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。 % K- }$ B- B* L% d5 x2 S$ ~
以太点位还是走势本身就有点不标准，跟大饼共同进退最好，以最低点看，本次以太还略微小于大饼，我们是不是可以期待一个底部的出现呢？现在还不好做进一步判断，等待本周周线收线我们再来做进一步判断。
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山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调，存量资金搏弈，局部式行情，而这局部就是山寨币。冷风一再强调，市场真正到了底部，布局山寨币可能最暴力。所有山寨币的操作要等到大饼走稳的，今天可以适当关注一下THETA,LOOKS。
4 q2 v5 C- F! a' f6 Y4 B2 j" M来源：金色财经 |
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