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[虚拟币交流]
彭博分析师：2025年加密货币将霸占全球科技股市值20%（1日转）
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9 @4 s' q- Z, k1 b. W3 G7 x* V
比特币(BTC)价格在今年迄今的涨幅超过150%，整体加密货币市场的市值来到1.6兆美元，
: q; Q# S$ |) s$ x! X; q( A年增超过110%，体现今年币市的彭博复苏。# R, X! b, S! i, x9 B( J$ D
对此现况，曾在彭博智库担任近十年分析师、现专注于区块链的Jamie Coutts在X发文指出：预计到2025年底，7 P4 p. I5 u! ~* \. v
科技股将占全球股票市场总额的25%，这数字在过去十年翻了一倍之多。而加密货币的市值则预计将在2025年占: j0 t: _( @ A
科技股市值的20%，5年内成长5倍。0 [+ S7 e" s9 P( ]9 C8 H' Z& C$ L1 o
他也表示，他认为至少在未来1~2年内，科技和加密货币应该成为投资组合中最大的增持部位，直到流动性周期
6 Q9 l0 V3 |% H5 n转变。3 K4 W5 U. u9 W W
山寨季将在明年Q2低点的1~1.5年内到来
4 _; Y) x" z* k$ @就在本月中，Coutts也曾评论，目前山寨币正在向上突破，但市场仍然由比特币的上涨所主导，但向山寨季的转5 W) J& @+ t* O
变似乎已临近，考虑到明年比特币现货ETF将导致出现大量资金流动，因此这个转变的周期可能需要更长时间，他9 O* o# S/ R) d: _$ i8 i7 Z3 y" v
预估山寨季会在2024年第二季的周期低点后的1~1年半内到来。
' U" ^1 M- m) z2 C" {- x“我们将看到一些明显的长期赢家的出现在这个循环中，L1、L2的山寨币和dApp具有产品/市场契合度和不断增( Q5 Q q* J( L- _- s" [! [9 u' c7 d
长的采用率。区块链的采用正处于结构性上升趋势。系好安全带。
0 ?9 N5 c% j4 a7 ~/ ^! M, C v- s3 ^% D+ `
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