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X8 n4 i$ n) N7 A) e
美国证券交易委员会(SEC)昨日批准11档比特币现货ETF,包括灰度的GBTC转比特币现
! I1 X2 {( g; u货ETF申请,并于昨晚正式开始交易,首日比特币现货ETF总交易量突破46亿美元,其中GBTC交易量最高,达& Y, x( b! n. ?8 O
23.2亿美,占比将近一半。
# a8 O7 m) P" L: N) \# U彭博分析师James Seyffart认为,这一交易量中,有很大一部分是在出售灰度的GBTC,并购买其他ETF,至于出
% j0 H g$ l5 v" T- z售的原因,推测与长期以来的负溢价消失,用户获利了结、或是认为GBTC管理费太高想转换有关,也就是说不一- e R: A4 v/ e4 n9 R/ C% v
定全是新资金流入。
4 S* v2 t/ O6 Z. R% X8 V FGBTC负溢价收窄至趋近于零" u/ v; ]# }. w2 `5 \1 C
值得注意的是,随着GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批,YCharts数据显示,GBTC相对资产净值(NAV)的折价已缩
& g+ S( I& h3 I% a: P: ]0 f. X窄趋近于零%,创下自2021年2月以来首次,至截稿前报–1.9%。
) D; [/ G" r- {1 k0 T0 V' v自2021年2月以来,GBTC价格一直低于其持有的比特币价值,并在2022年12月创下历史新低,达到近50%的负; T! N# J9 O1 ~: z1 K
溢价,不过随着去年夏季灰度赢得对SEC的诉讼,使GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批重燃希望,GBTC负溢价开始
, _& h7 m" b4 k5 N3 v: c+ \' E大幅缩窄。
% C- W1 Z- l8 sCoindesk报导,FundStrat的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell表示,GBTC趋近于NAV,是加密货币领域的一大解. r% W* s# u5 z! ]6 f( I
脱,也是加密货币产业迈入新成熟阶段的象征,GBTC由于明显的原因,在过去几年来,给市场带来了很多不必要. X5 e4 Q' G0 X6 a) n4 V) e4 `
的痛苦。
& c- h" R7 S! D& ?8 L! I此前出现折价的原因,与该基金性质有关,GBTC运作方式类似封闭式基金,这代表GBTC缺乏固有的套利机制,
; _) O- s: O4 i& g, p5 z! L无法让做市商自行申购或赎回股份,Sean Farrell指出:比特币一直存在于此信托中,但缺乏赎回机制,导致其相, S3 b' J6 T6 z6 U! g
对于基础资产价值大幅折价,最重要的是,这伤害了许多个人投资者,原因是其表现低于基准,此外,还导致大
8 E3 Y/ G4 o3 ~规模信贷崩溃,原因是此产品在整个加密货币领域被用作抵押品。
1 O o7 |8 w6 m2 ]8 E未来溢价/折价将极小
& R+ ?' J: e* h- W+ T5 UGSR加密货币研究分析师Matt Kunke表示,GBTC在过去,流动性只有在二级市场的场外交易,但如今GBTC已转; D, p8 x$ U# K5 C& A# |
换为现货ETF,授权参与者能依照资产净值申购和赎回ETF份额,进而将ETF市场价格与其资产价值挂钩:因此,: O: ]3 m4 `, J
未来溢价/折价可能只会有几个基点的变动。7 z, @, n" B, [ K, u7 P* o
展望未来,Sean Farrell认为,鉴于以太坊现货ETF接下来可望也获得SEC批准上市,灰度以太坊信托(ETHE)申请2 C7 X5 X; w' T5 r* u' D+ U! a2 ]
可能过关,观察ETHE的负溢价(目前-11.48%)接下来将如何变化,将是一件有趣的事情。1 i% }0 Y; ~) P3 }" I9 x
6 K- z6 G' o( w! ~ |
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