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9 ^ e9 ~% Q B美国证券交易委员会(SEC)昨日批准11档比特币现货ETF，包括灰度的GBTC转比特币现, B1 G; O7 {6 K# j
货ETF申请，并于昨晚正式开始交易，首日比特币现货ETF总交易量突破46亿美元，其中GBTC交易量最高，达; l/ o( A7 Q; [9 s5 V# W( }
23.2亿美，占比将近一半。
" h8 ^& w0 ^7 I. G* d) q7 J彭博分析师James Seyffart认为，这一交易量中，有很大一部分是在出售灰度的GBTC，并购买其他ETF，至于出6 L& W/ m$ D3 T4 F6 z! C; O
售的原因，推测与长期以来的负溢价消失，用户获利了结、或是认为GBTC管理费太高想转换有关，也就是说不一) V! s& Z& S; z2 {, w9 e2 t' M6 f, Q. E
定全是新资金流入。8 i+ s2 Z7 B5 n
GBTC负溢价收窄至趋近于零% Z& \3 Y: W/ i! b3 |5 b7 W, p& {
值得注意的是，随着GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批，YCharts数据显示，GBTC相对资产净值(NAV)的折价已缩; |! i* H. l6 D$ |9 X
窄趋近于零%，创下自2021年2月以来首次，至截稿前报–1.9%。2 R9 j- t& P5 [6 F% r
自2021年2月以来，GBTC价格一直低于其持有的比特币价值，并在2022年12月创下历史新低，达到近50%的负
5 m+ `* t! E6 E; _. P. O O溢价，不过随着去年夏季灰度赢得对SEC的诉讼，使GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批重燃希望，GBTC负溢价开始
{6 z2 Z8 k' U大幅缩窄。
" s( d( M4 H* I! W) }Coindesk报导，FundStrat的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell表示，GBTC趋近于NAV，是加密货币领域的一大解
3 \3 F5 X: c6 I+ m2 F5 Q4 C脱，也是加密货币产业迈入新成熟阶段的象征，GBTC由于明显的原因，在过去几年来，给市场带来了很多不必要1 w& X, w: T/ B0 V1 Q
的痛苦。
# T: }2 {2 _% n2 D9 t2 h此前出现折价的原因，与该基金性质有关，GBTC运作方式类似封闭式基金，这代表GBTC缺乏固有的套利机制，
: U, m4 z" Y5 V! t- l无法让做市商自行申购或赎回股份，Sean Farrell指出：比特币一直存在于此信托中，但缺乏赎回机制，导致其相/ l8 ?& `* Y* B
对于基础资产价值大幅折价，最重要的是，这伤害了许多个人投资者，原因是其表现低于基准，此外，还导致大; O9 T' \8 ?5 m& C& c
规模信贷崩溃，原因是此产品在整个加密货币领域被用作抵押品。: U9 E( q0 E# R& t; H8 o3 `: P
未来溢价/折价将极小
9 ?! b7 {9 e3 q6 aGSR加密货币研究分析师Matt Kunke表示，GBTC在过去，流动性只有在二级市场的场外交易，但如今GBTC已转% s$ Y# f0 \5 G3 c! |( f! \3 b
换为现货ETF，授权参与者能依照资产净值申购和赎回ETF份额，进而将ETF市场价格与其资产价值挂钩：因此，3 s9 k0 C: w1 s' @4 g- B
未来溢价/折价可能只会有几个基点的变动。 Q2 {' w5 ^$ p
展望未来，Sean Farrell认为，鉴于以太坊现货ETF接下来可望也获得SEC批准上市，灰度以太坊信托(ETHE)申请. n) J6 l0 b( \" _" a% b. U8 G3 x) c1 t
可能过关，观察ETHE的负溢价(目前-11.48%)接下来将如何变化，将是一件有趣的事情。
1 b0 A h& G( j% G. F9 i; w0 V- n6 @: \
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