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$ o: W2 m6 b. r. y" v! p
美国证券交易委员会(SEC)在11日批准11档比特币现货ETF,加密货币产业迎来重要里程0 t# ]+ f$ ]0 a' l
碑,市场开始乐观认为,以太坊现货ETF接下来也可望获批,目前共有7档申请等待SEC核准,包括贝莱德、富5 u2 x0 T+ F! ~; S* b, A% n' p
达、灰度、VanEck、方舟/21Shares、Invesco/Galaxy及Hashdex。
+ c# ~0 E' P4 ]# X5 b5 LSEC对VanEck、方舟/21Shares和Hashdex以太坊现货ETF的最终审批决定期限落在2024年5月,其他申请则在# [2 W. {9 v8 J3 M2 A* v3 `, C
2024年的6~8月内。
" u( t, h; }: s3 q以太坊现货ETF今年底前推出?
* `* V7 `( t# W% [而据Santiment在X平台发布的民意调查显示,52.4%网友认为,美国将在今年底前推出以太坊现货ETF,9.8%的6 ^$ O# c4 T+ }( @: Y/ a
网友更乐观,预期本月就能获得批准,另有26.5%看好在明年或之后批准,11.3%的人认为永远不会发生。
6 [2 s& D' U. H {8 V然而,美国投资银行TD Cowen认为,SEC不会很快就批准以太坊现货ETF,TD Cowen Washington Research D/ E4 w4 j# P4 P: R
Group在本周稍早发布的一份报告中表示:预期SEC不会很快批准其他加密货币ETP。因为SEC希望从比特币ETP
4 m, V8 v2 w7 v$ H中获取经验,然后再批准以太坊或其他加密货币ETP。等待批准的时间可能不会长达26个月,但很可能要到美国
1 B7 `$ v) A3 s& l5 X总统大选之后。) u$ |9 q1 w+ L7 b
摩根大通分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou也看衰以太坊现货ETF在今年5月获批的可能性,他向The Block表示:
( V8 p I* ]3 I我们认为,如果SEC在5月批准现货以太坊ETF,就需要将以太坊归类为商品,而非证券,类似于比特币,但这还8 N4 R5 Q4 m( P1 V
远未确定,我认为,SEC在5月前将以太坊归类为商品的可能性,不会超过50%。
% d3 p r% n2 N j以太坊价格一度飙升: C$ m$ \- Z2 k1 S6 |) e
此前,由于市场乐观预期以太坊现货ETF可望获批,在比特币现货ETF通过后,以太坊价格一度狂飙,再加上贝莱1 E* ?, M+ Q( z$ {) E: p
德执行长LarryFink发布言论,称看到以太坊ETF的价值,以太坊在13日冲上2,717.32美元,创下自2022年5月9日( }7 R5 n( Q' T- T. H J
以来的新高,不过随后又急挫。- S8 o2 o! d+ e8 C; o" e/ q( t
至截稿前,报2551美元,近24小时跌幅0.1%。
, Y% o$ j- a1 V+ a6 {尽管TD Cowen、摩根大通皆不看好以太坊现货ETF很快获批,但彭博ETF分析师James Seyffart在年初表示,- I) E( \3 f8 V2 k O+ |: v( p
SEC在去年批准9档以太坊相关期货ETF时,已「含蓄地」默认以太坊是商品,他看好今年可望有首个以太坊现货
0 z7 P$ q4 n0 m2 uETF上市。$ }0 p' C* g* k9 x6 j
) c9 X# J4 v! X+ i. T- N) h" U7 V# M
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