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[虚拟币交流]
58亿美元期权风暴来袭！比特币能否站稳6.5万美元关键点位？（转）
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在周五价值逾58亿美元的期权合约到期前，比特币在四周内首次突破6.5万美元。一些分析师表示，期权到期可能导致加密货币市场的波动性加剧。4 T/ y! H5 U9 r" h; s& v0 m
" U8 i* K. @% c% ]8 N. [Cumberland Labs研究主管Chris Newhouse表示，比特币跌破这一价格水平将引发大幅下跌，而持续突破之后可能会出现反弹。
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5 G1 t, c2 c. _Newhouse表示：“比特币现在处于6.5万美元的水平，并正在慢慢测试更高价位，要么突破并维持在这个价位，要么不突破并出现大幅下跌。我们已经转向一个更以微观结构为主导的交易环境，在这个环境中，( V3 U/ J$ |- N% D& @/ @: _
( f2 {- T8 c: F3 V/ s清算、融资利率和对波动性的投机是价格的主要驱动因素。”
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6 U- o7 o, ~9 V比特币周四一度上涨3.7%，至65,826美元，为自7月30日以来的最高水平，随后回吐涨幅。规模较小、流动性较差的代币上涨幅度更大，其中狗狗币上涨超过9%，Solana上涨5%，Avalanche上涨6.5%。7 J, Q) }" M k6 R$ ]5 E/ D
% N _& }: e0 k x# |+ ^% [Newhouse表示，从历史上看，比特币在8月和9月的阻力位一直是6.5万美元。“我们正在重新测试它。”' p+ a G( S2 _" ?
" B& m/ @) C' X- g- J# p0 P在期权市场，交易商将面临周五到期的逾58亿美元合约。( o4 l6 O; T) f
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' w8 ?6 r% f! d$ G% j# V: w/ c$ J加密衍生品交易所Deribit首席执行官Luuk Strijers表示:“在到期的比特币期权中，约有20%是价内期权。随着交易员平仓或展期，这种大规模的期权到期可能加剧市场波动或活动，这也可能影响价格。”
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根据Deribit编制的数据，在所有到期合约中，比特币期权的未平仓合约集中在10万美元、9万美元、7万美元和6.5万美元左右。
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# R$ i; Q9 h! a0 V. vVertex 首席执行官兼联合创始人Darius Tabai 表示：“由于伽马对冲将市场控制在6万美元和6.5万美元附近，市场应该会在到期前出现波动。”, e0 t. P t! T+ M! j; v
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随着投资者涌入期权市场，提供此类合约的交易商要么大量买入，要么大量卖出，以抵消他们快速变化的风险敞口——这种动态被称为“伽马对冲”。
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