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当前离线
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；: j4 X6 p& O1 V0 m0 n; L& L8 B5 A
尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；1 h6 R b; q" y
比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；: X6 e% ^" i8 h7 ~/ t" f, T% p" ^, |
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根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；8 H' `- P/ B% c$ J/ D
( b6 J7 K9 \' A在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；
" n% J" R/ i* F, @; H3 j9 s, L
, v9 a1 \3 i% ^5 Y& ^9 I' `; F' f$ q下一步BTC上涨？
+ u- `/ e9 v; p' a7 n. b采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
- {' Q6 l2 z. k' T2 M, w8 i! D" G3 A o6 e ~$ Y: |' B
此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ； r: `/ n4 q/ ]( D
9 Q" i7 j$ m) y* U' Q
尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。
( B9 Z5 v0 ^0 Z, H3 p0 P3 `4 b; z+ K7 p+ [' A6 t: b( [
Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
/ K) |. h( n: E. g7 _% b% Q* e" c! K7 ~6 J T0 N1 o- U% ]! B, p
“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
- S' E% A6 Q" j. ?' H0 W
% e; d( F; x* H4 _: C另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；& U1 v- z: V6 v( O+ T( Y( x
6 D8 `4 n3 G4 ?自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
! L7 c' o( S9 o( T; p
- y8 E/ t8 J) H, E' O有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。, Q% b7 R% ~9 A+ X6 y H
. d' u0 U# N0 A9 E8 b$ [
在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,
( T8 [! @+ q; y; l% M, b& g y5 u
, _7 E T5 x" M3 }% e“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；4 C( P. ^+ {/ `
9 {" C1 Y3 c/ `3 D
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