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[lastpost] => 2808814 韩国加密货币交易所监管和内部控制方面存在的更深层次的漏洞。（转） 1771936228 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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- P/ x5 [" `3 Y; K% B! s1 Q! A 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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- A' s9 G9 n/ I 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。7 \! J4 Y- t6 A, K. X+ R' \# Z6 P
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续. ?" V+ L1 P2 [: U' c7 L1 T
( d5 m2 c d) j, F2 ]: \ Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。4 A, }) {8 ~3 w! G5 n, x/ S
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。# Z; y7 V# c% ^0 v( N
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) |. @- l7 a6 N 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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% {; H S# k$ {. H# }7 n) O 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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" h3 q. e7 `- E) `. a( q0 P 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。+ p2 R/ p$ V- s8 L, r
, C8 `+ w5 B; V" Q# J “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”# q D% O" f- \- w6 o
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2 j) W$ m: z' T1 J 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。+ v: i8 C5 {) @0 c
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。9 f# y9 O( s" o
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势) l3 k- j5 K' H( {
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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$ r+ P: J u: g, K- F p% J0 A 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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& w4 n* M$ p8 q5 O, ~8 c 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，0 F7 h* F! ]; O: J- R$ u4 |. O
+ L+ r4 C4 d5 b* ? J市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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