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[lastpost] => 2781672 分析师预测，随着比特币价格接近 94,000 美元，它将进一步下跌。（转） 1763526961 whywhy
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7月1日晚，复旦大学经济学院举办“稳定币与国际金融大变局”线上研讨会。会上，复旦大学国际金融研究中心主任杨长江认为，
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' T7 Y# @) O" h; ^稳定币近年来迅速“出圈”，既受到美国总统特朗普的政策偏好等偶然因素影响，也体现了全球化与金融化在数字经济时代共振耦合的( T* Y; S; u& m, t7 k+ e1 i& {; P
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必然趋势。杨长江指出，美国高度重视稳定币，其背后是出于维持美元霸权的考量。2 O) Q; N( a2 \, U; w5 \
# { h8 m+ W4 V# O; r z2 | 他认为，稳定币是代币化时代货币形态演进的阶段性成果，虽存在诸多问题，但其货币属性已初具雏形。它实现了三大平衡：一; B* w9 P8 l+ F5 _) U/ C
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是公权与私权的结合，以法定货币为锚、由市场机构发行；二是中心化与去中心化的融合，在链上形成去中心化交易基础的同时保留0 J4 }" r y$ t; Q% p
" L4 @ {# T' e/ x8 q发行方控制力；三是链上与链下的协同，既服务于数字世界，也在现实世界的跨境支付、金融包容等方面展现出广泛应用。4 N7 A+ w4 z# @1 S0 ~
/ v1 k K2 R8 k) T" ]. \ 杨长江表示，尽管国际清算银行在其最新报告中对稳定币提出严厉批评，认为其在货币基本功能方面不合格，但我们应以更开放、
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包容的态度看待这一新兴事物。他强调，随着商业银行逐步参与稳定币发行，未来将出现科技公司与金融机构之间的竞争与合作格局，
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也将进一步推动数字金融生态的发展。
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关于稳定币背后的全球化演进问题，杨长江说道，“美国这么热心做这件事情，有它的考虑。过去美元以黄金、石油为支撑，未来则
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3 Y) _' h1 e$ I. G可能是数字资产。如果美国控制住了数字世界，那么美元霸权未来就更有希望延续。”0 @, P" N: L3 q% p
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他还提出，美国推行稳定币的背后不仅是为美国国债创造了操作性需求，更是一个战略性想法——企图构建链上以美元为基准的下
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一个代币化的全球金融体系。
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在谈及人民币国际化时，杨长江建议天朝采取“双轨并行”战略：一方面加快央行数字货币建设，另一方面积极探索人民币锚定型稳定
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币的发展路径，尤其应在香港、上海等地创造应用场景，主动适应数字金融趋势。他表示，天朝应把握数字金融发展机遇，在监管与创新. A7 x, |0 L4 d2 @
) f8 h) I2 s9 U, O+ |7 D之间找到平衡点，为人民币国际化开辟新空间。( H0 D) U" j/ U+ m% J8 y- l, V
! S1 |! D: c+ @% v0 j' F 人民币国际化，应该是两条腿走路。传统的贸易、投资项下推广人民币使用，以及试点央行数字人民币等，这是一条腿。另外一条腿就
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是推行人民币稳定币，规范和推广实际上已经存在的人民币稳定币贸易结算。我们需要双管齐下，来找到最合适的途径。
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