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Messari:OpenSea主导下 Uniswap收购Genie将如何「破局」?
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原文作者:Kunal Goel,Messari 分析师 OpenSea 继续主导着 NFT 市场格局。其去中心化竞争对手 X2Y2 和 LooksRare 虽然会激励 NFT 交易并获得了一定的成交额市场份额,但并没有获得显著的用户量和成交量份额。 Uniswap 收购了 NFT 市场聚合器 Genie,这可能会给挑战者们最大的机会来挑战王者。 即使在调整了市值差异之后,其他替代性 NFT 市场的基本面也不会给人留下深刻印象。
OpenSea在整个 2021 年维持了 NFT 交易市场的主导地位,占 80% 的市场份额。其近乎垄断的地位使其能够建立强大的品牌,保持中心化的所有权,并收取高 2.5% 的交易费用。 然而,最近出现了一些挑战 OpenSea 主导地位的替代方案。其中最主要的是于 2022 年第一季度推出的X2Y2和LooksRare。它们是否有效地获得了市场份额?如今随着 NFT 的狂热情绪已经消退,它们的原生代币是否提供了一个令人信服的投资机会? 挑战者出现 X2Y2 和 LooksRare 已经将自己标榜为去中心化的、由社区所有的 OpenSea 替代品。 这两个平台于 2022 年第一季度推出了社区空投,自那以来一直试图激励用户参与,以挑战 OpenSea 的主导地位。 二者的交易费用低于 OpenSea。OpenSea 收取每笔交易的2.5%,而 X2Y2 和 LooksRare 分别收取0.5%和2%。 它们对用户进行的每笔交易都会奖励其原生代币 (分别是 X2Y2 和 LOOKS)。 它们会补贴 Gas 费用,并对在它们平台上架 NFT 进行奖励。 平台搜集的所有费用收入都与代币质押者共享。
好的,坏的,丑陋的 这些替代性 NFT 平台已经通过这些举措获得了一些成功。OpenSea 在过去 30 天的平均每日成交额市场份额为47%,而 X2Y2 和 LooksRare 的成交额份额分别为40%和13%。 上图:OpenSea 每日成交额市场份额已经跌至 50% 以下 然而,这些替代性 NFT 平台的成交量和用户量份额远低于它们的成交额份额所暗示的。这些替代性平台提供的激励最终使清洗交易者 (wash traders)受益,从而导致了这种差异。当交易费用低于交易激励时,清洗交易就是有利可图的。这些清洗交易通常价值很高,由少数套利者进行,从而使得X2Y2 和 LooksRare 的成交额市场份额较高。因此,OpenSea 在过去 30 天的每日用户量和成交量的市场份额都要更高,都是92%。如下图所示: 上图:OpenSea 的每日成交量和用户量份额依然超过 90% OpenSea 的巨大成功似乎来自强大的品牌护城河,从谷歌搜索趋势可以看出。“OpenSea”是一个比“LooksRare”或“X2Y2”更受欢迎的搜索词。到目前为止,这些替代性平台还没有找到一种方法来挑战 OpenSea 的品牌,即使它们有激励机制和较低的成本。 上图:OpenSea的品牌吸引力使其成为热门搜索词 |
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