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CPI都新高了为什么市场开启了反弹？尤其是ETH和DEFI
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众所周知通胀和加息就是行情上涨的最大阻力，有消息说美联储加息 100 基点的概率上调至 81%，75 基点的概率变成了 19%。传到市场当然是一片恐慌，做空的做空，割肉的割肉。
不曾想隔夜小规模下挫以后，市场立马开启了反弹。很多人就问，怎么 CPI 这么高，通胀这么高，加息这么大的利空，怎么还涨了呢？
不过这次反弹的原因倒很简单，因为加息影响的是介入到币市的传统资本、传统机构。对于散户来说，你管他加不加息呢，那些钱进去一点水花都溅不起。
我们注意两个问题。这次 BTC 只是小幅度反弹，真正出现大幅度反弹的是 ETH 和 DeFi 蓝筹，其次再是 layer1。比如 AAVE、MATIC。
整个加密币市二级市场是不会有太多机构的身影，因为他们只活跃在一级市场。而在二级市场中，他们乐意建仓的首先就是 BTC，只有跟加密关系非常紧密诸如 3AC 这样的 VC 才会下注以太坊。
如果按照机构和散户阵营在币圈圈地的话，那么应该是这样分配：
华尔街机构阵营：BTC、一级市场
散户阵营：各种山寨币的二级市场
加密VC阵营：BTC，ETH，一级市场
华尔街资本在3AC、Celsuis 这些接近加密的 CeFi 暴雷后，已经开始慢慢撤出。nansen 统计了七家 VC 的追踪数据，其中有 5 家都在抛售，过了今年跌得最惨的就是那些 VC 项目。
在场外犹豫不决的VC因为加息开始减少对Crypto 投资。佳士得今年关于 NFT 的拍卖交易量只有去年的 5%，合规化平台 Coinbase 的市场份额下降至 3%，区块链 |
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