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[lastpost] => 2813457 巨亏124亿背后的豪赌：MicroStrategy正把自己变成比特币的“风险放大器”？（转） 1773152676 小钱儿
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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。) V* j. R) p7 v. j9 v6 t
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。+ l! i) Z' `+ a1 K z
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比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者8 y4 U: h1 Y6 w. f0 u( D* o2 r
0 L' W4 r8 o* w! L6 N' D: G
2 b5 u3 l2 N% B! D& N* e
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。2 y# a q) i- S3 B7 V4 ?* h, F
/ l% N B8 \8 Q在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，, R' l* e$ h) f8 Z6 N9 \
1 @; x3 C! s2 M( S' } F7 x, a. z- B Y如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
. P9 Y4 z" X |! [( X! `6 }2 _* W8 @2 R
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
' F$ P: o) U) Y2 u) ^) ]& p: W$ Z
从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等2 E7 m+ t1 K, r+ I
3 D8 s/ B/ }2 D* m托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加4 d- ~4 c" T' K+ v9 z& l" ]
, X5 H! }0 Z* X- _# y) E- T* g
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
7 D: L8 a: Z( E: |/ t: t
6 x" ?5 U0 y- ~* ^3 ]- H" Z2 q易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
& ]3 B$ ?% G: Y' M
+ l+ u# W7 f, \天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
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ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
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绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
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所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
" S- g( e$ \6 @* F: s* C( S$ l% U3 Z& h$ ` u P4 u4 }
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat " y9 ~( M- o9 A! Q9 j/ f+ Z
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Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
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* X* A; j L; W1 P0 e$ { f比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元 C% l) c( }, C, D! o6 n
5 Z4 j- `+ E% O) l) e$ q" P的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
, X+ e/ ]( q0 `2 S* e5 i4 X
8 R: }9 z$ w8 a( r) j不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身
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并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和+ l6 q T$ n" O% h) x v) a
. G l- G9 g1 a( b2 a/ v
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。- W% s" J) j4 C, x2 w% S
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