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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
. D4 X- I5 ~3 \4 B/ }5 M1 M上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。2 j/ H7 s7 C" _' Q- y6 S
. u' ]1 K* {# r! J$ }' q$ l/ V
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者3 f+ O+ A& K6 G# p( B
, h1 f8 z& T1 k0 K
% s1 R' f. s( {2 [5 _: E1 v在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。- { P1 H; x. X5 N
5 l$ C6 |0 Q% y在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，. f }, F) E$ G+ K' u8 R0 ?+ V
: ?) T3 K0 B+ m8 W( ~
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
5 ]$ ~: V) I- f3 @. r
( ?7 t+ t6 F* \& F资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
6 T" h4 @3 z! i
! K- ]& l: L: ]- m2 I+ ]从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等
/ u. b& v# l2 c+ m( j
$ e# a9 Z% n) L托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加) ^: O( m+ X9 i$ G# M# y
% e) h1 z5 l2 ~- X9 [3 Y4 o
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
* B+ H7 \) m4 E% q% O8 H) z; z1 L! I: U2 o
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。! Z7 Z! I: t5 o: t: X
& T+ E k/ I; a/ `/ e* m
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币8 s4 u8 C. R. l' u, c
( s+ E" _" F) x/ u+ r1 I
ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
' w6 n* X7 `: u4 c" {% {+ f4 i; H6 I a
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
, F5 F/ ]' z4 j# {! n5 r6 l- _8 q" w/ \" I8 Y0 H! Z
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
# H; u* y. G$ s" L& [5 o# A# n. T. [8 J. ~, f2 I
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat ' z; b Q! A! y$ u$ |5 O) ^
4 E/ K; d/ r/ k! G1 }. L( UGlobal Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，5 {! c# F1 ]4 i( N5 D! I$ d0 W* c
1 e: K( a3 V p; e, _) O) V比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元
" q1 e1 {4 U2 I8 _8 Q# m. ~& ?
5 G3 z7 D3 Z* ^的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
* E! d0 r4 |9 u' F/ _! R# I5 S( s, l
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身
2 Y. P( w5 I2 _3 p* V* b
$ {) l* @$ {; `( O' \" [2 B并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
9 g2 w! |7 Q! V$ e
; N5 C0 L* P: E科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
/ _# L0 q1 F. {1 G* c2 }+ f: q
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