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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
; H& U; u$ b/ r4 L- h. X* T至少有以下几个原因：) H0 E% d( `, {, r, s! p2 w) ^
3 Y* ^- | w* W8 g/ U F
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。# n- a+ D, u- ]; b2 s
& M" @( _# O0 F' m9 N在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
; H, }/ e S! \4 n5 g" ^2 U: ~+ f( m2 e8 p9 T! v9 }
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
6 n- F# [& _ i7 z2 `3 {! P6 M& ^; F7 }; R+ t* `9 q
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到6 A) {) S+ c2 [% T
6 Y. I6 h5 P* q& T
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数+ _4 U& X G- p/ I- a
0 J1 r- |) j# @, w! {7 c0 n' F
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有* X L8 n* e6 D/ ~2 m) Q9 @
+ L2 a+ i3 K# _2 W e% j; B
达到200亿美金）0 d# \" y6 x0 L) [
3 M( G% x, N3 ?7 D6 |2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊. R9 D2 |0 w# i3 v7 j( _" f& a+ }
' n! q' I6 w5 M, _! b0 e D
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化 z2 ~' g9 V) o) w: S
. p4 J" x2 _% ` m9 ~
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。) A% U) @! u s" y) W
" `8 q* {: G8 N$ S- }* O0 X
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
: e, |3 ]: h2 v D2 J8 t) [" Y3 \/ @4 F
资金的信任和青睐。8 A+ s# [7 b$ N* H* M$ F+ Z
, x+ o) h8 v# G4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美) [/ u" o0 G |
/ R2 ~, U; a0 y- p
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入9 P3 _+ _, @+ P" F1 `! {$ J
& J4 `0 r9 t# g) \+ {; V
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。/ q k2 n! }5 G4 |5 P" e
' P5 }$ y$ N" t: v0 j
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