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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
5 k, r" R9 \0 i- `' x& W) @7 s至少有以下几个原因：: E3 L2 \- a: a0 n+ h: V, Y! Z
2 w1 l9 z, `* ]9 Y2 p1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。4 v2 D6 T: w6 a* w t7 V
/ f/ r7 Z* ]; y' X$ v. [
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化, t6 `1 j( D# c& s% W% u
7 O8 H8 n. a. x* ]: d2 U( a
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
4 y# P; O/ {, n9 F' r
7 J" E' i- j2 y. C6 s$ m! x. x8 L出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到; w) a" }" e9 D" S
' Y+ r8 n6 a$ n1 k4 \2 q
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数3 e4 l' E! U" _
3 `. c( i' `$ p3 q3 r据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有/ G5 l3 r% e$ m5 y8 b
; o2 E" e. T2 g3 E
达到200亿美金）
# a( f4 D% ~" f8 @3 o. n9 H( {& T3 k G% t: T% f' {" t( f P
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊. H( A) B* W6 d) x; V) e; V/ c
5 V, S- m+ W& L. x4 h' ^1 ~
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化$ r, U; Y, U8 a+ @8 V3 R2 j
6 x& n4 q- S3 `! U$ U+ u1 E的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。6 I+ k* x: ?, K5 f
+ ~9 H& f% s9 b7 k: h- y
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大 ~. J" R0 `+ x4 ?
& j# f0 I' G" h
资金的信任和青睐。6 h% h; n% B, f( t; j! x
. F3 L' e4 o4 |
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美7 S" Q1 c9 S) P. v7 \4 R
, u0 }6 w: n+ E! @, Q
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入4 C/ z+ ]& X" c$ s
2 E- y6 ]3 `7 U) a比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
% x0 Y1 ^* O. V' b7 o, c4 V5 F& H
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