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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
' W6 h* I+ q2 @8 u1 c
8 [8 _! O6 {8 h5 ~6 v专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 ) m3 I4 Q& X# i% D
; ]) V* Q. |8 D$ S; z: g有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技. w9 N8 A4 z. |. Q( |* ~ ]; D! v
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股等风险较高的投资。
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
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/ w- ?- c3 F8 p1 @明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 ) I4 W$ x7 d1 ?/ R6 o2 u& s4 h; _# I/ x
+ E# ^$ I% B/ M9 g' b5 H4 M. _0 s现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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; x- A$ O& ]( k5 [7 k从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 8 s l( a) ]# B) t1 S+ h2 u2 ]- R$ m
# g" `1 u" h. D4 A; N& v0 U, D9 b更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此; U# b" p# ?! |( J: m+ ~
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的* r, v% }( {: I1 [
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推动力之一。
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9 M. M1 l |. ^" G2 \ f- l0 v02
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& N6 ]/ F2 ~6 M有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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. q: ~4 E7 Y5 G; {3 [的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” 9 X( m+ T4 @$ T
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
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1 T' ~$ O% C3 J: W2 j今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 ' l- B0 N$ `# V" ]; g G8 ]( }
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