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+ G' K0 G8 N. g1 m4 }比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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5 X' M* q3 r" ^5 y7 i专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 % Q2 j+ u' }5 b
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技, \% r& e& l8 H) A, z1 {
8 K2 u' E/ L+ ?; }: ^股等风险较高的投资。
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储4 A: U' [, X9 q" Z3 Z$ `$ S5 N3 W
% ]' |) ~2 U. D
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 " q) D) E3 g1 c: f
. H0 I, U/ R% k9 D现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 # G/ w& ^' F8 V: M
. \3 S! R# n5 s1 q+ A从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 ) d% U3 _8 M: n2 B9 r
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更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。 ! Z9 h0 `) T6 W- l' x
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的; I7 M& V) N o5 R& ]; g
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推动力之一。
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' |& {, O& b* x有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 9 V/ T6 U5 _1 L: W5 x
' n+ X3 I8 f$ z5 e# e4 U" r/ Z需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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$ |$ z+ z! b; L的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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" U' f6 Y& ?# c/ ~( S* j1 O数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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