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/ w- B* ^' m6 O, r" B. R比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
# B) Y. Y4 G4 D4 x5 X: f
/ R# f! f) f F- y( e; j6 c$ v监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，' g; U) b$ W* {' C( z0 [
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 6 I1 ^# J+ Y, C7 J4 r7 H; e0 M
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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6 y" _2 q& }, X6 T: C, G6 D股等风险较高的投资。
9 Q" X2 d' m0 U" }& V. S0 L: G1 d" R8 }+ T
芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储; f( R1 J- ]( U% w, l
8 V0 x" j; T0 ~3 [7 q0 D
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
5 b" U6 O) ] `. U) y
' ?& ?/ v0 I* T) s0 a& z现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动+ l. I' F+ v3 ~5 d- ?1 O5 I
6 m1 W5 W5 i/ X' d5 S1 m2 {5 k因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 / ~; Q0 K& t, Q9 N
9 N3 e: R$ w; `
从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此8 U6 j5 N2 N0 h. v
2 _7 j( b8 v' f- A/ S" d) ^+ ` u' a" U仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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, g. |+ R, E$ r1 U5 |; ?库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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$ Z9 p) p' m/ x% x推动力之一。 7 |" _4 S' ]5 P
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02
# \* B. V( m# E/ y! }
* `3 f" x! q4 w3 T) U# {4 y有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
0 R5 [( U; c6 _2 c% H# b9 J+ g6 ~! L+ C0 g: e" t. ]
需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 " k# i- z- s& H; _- a* t
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣! \# l! s' u+ B& m/ b
- k7 p# A! A7 r0 A. U' `的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” & p% p( M5 t1 ]1 v# ]
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至 V# o6 Q. B! P9 C1 `
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 " Q) j6 C# w, o) Z3 }2 x* h4 a& K G
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