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[lastpost] => 2783491 比特币暴跌导致杠杆多头头寸在短短一小时内蒸发近10亿美元。（转） 1763744139 右耳
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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1 Z) R' ]" w! _* g监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，" W5 ^5 D2 i. E. R4 S W
3 ~! I7 F3 G+ ]专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技, u7 G, ?0 n! \4 _
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股等风险较高的投资。 3 F. t: z; Q3 b8 {. ~7 }7 Z% E
1 X, x4 W0 D) C" C芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
. q6 R# p' H: O, d
/ t' S2 l9 G# r$ r' X0 i$ ^, g明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
& {- E. C; s& E; l$ D! N- J8 d* l* K2 z4 w2 O* Q7 t4 T( `# ?
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动" |3 C1 s$ c1 Q1 [5 a; T! D
4 d( k/ e6 j3 E, L因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 Q* q, W$ c6 h( ~, e- Z- }
$ f/ k% C% y- d0 [! h3 e从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 ) f& |8 d: _" {7 ~
& |1 r, |# C5 o# {) X更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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6 a( X5 K1 r" j4 f4 A/ ]仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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8 x% y4 g$ K9 j; S+ {库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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推动力之一。
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6 j! A! ?0 L/ a& j2 Q" z' A有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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& q% n1 g3 c/ p4 W5 Q2 n4 o加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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k# _1 u }# p$ d" V, J的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
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8 o. F. U( j' V+ q9 r今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 6 s+ k$ q9 i/ T x( e1 u
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