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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
4 g; V$ v" Z/ ]( n% |' [至少有以下几个原因：+ H* C1 h% Z% h# m: n8 \9 d" n
$ P3 r( Q& ^% Z
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。# d @' T! f$ _3 F% ]
) L2 H7 }% {- k# o
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
; h O, l1 s) b7 g8 S1 u4 }) N6 \, O! v
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
4 c; P9 Z- r+ r0 {
+ ~( m4 @ D& R. J/ V/ U( v( Q+ t出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到* ?! r5 v8 w: @7 J4 `+ T2 f
$ D# w9 S4 h$ w; J: R325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数$ X# @8 D9 J7 }7 j, M( E* v. n
! S3 v8 G' w$ s* P
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有! G2 T, h6 g. h
4 b' f( G: }, G+ z达到200亿美金）8 i7 r6 j/ z4 A4 U+ g, |
) M- y! B: }# x. v. M: D' f% {8 a2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊( q' v" u/ l) j0 a) T& S% a8 j
. C6 V* f/ u6 D$ C0 F8 K9 V更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化% e6 f; b5 V1 R0 O6 Q
. n/ |- k: @; J G& T7 v; X的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
" i5 ?( X0 w/ O9 q3 t7 m' G9 \
9 O# \$ S5 F' c( s/ I3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大8 l" ?/ p( C$ E" {( l2 s. K
* U* W; }/ @ @+ _
资金的信任和青睐。8 y; Y7 x0 Y3 C- P4 n* w
3 X0 _8 F( q: A4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
% K) S' O6 L, W& I" t" o0 i" G/ [
: A+ F# \- E' J, W6 e) A金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
- }% h9 `1 d; [9 g( |' G6 i! o/ e% m' M7 Y0 c$ W. K
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
9 q. p" Q6 z3 x# b. }) a% ^' o( @) b
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