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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份$ _, g |3 W* T8 Y( P
- F8 P" k/ }+ I( \9 O报告中特别强调了这一论断。
3 H1 |' K1 d3 C" d美元抛售推高比特币
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$ \1 E3 |/ \, X: yGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以) ?: l8 |) |- k. q ^' n) L
4 E! J0 U$ X4 b9 @: g8 P: y来的最低水平。 g) A) s$ d. p n0 @: p$ S9 W( o
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指& k: s2 i: {+ B6 d
7 B6 p# w9 Z! Y! @6 f; v; r数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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( O: V# Z$ o5 C5 y0 y4 B: e8 PAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推* j/ ~! |% X7 U# c: w
. M G- ?; q! c7 j高黄金和比特币的价格。, b) H: y- R8 J3 |! x9 A4 {
& _& c" s7 }- d) Z) }4 `. G( y5 B
下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。
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5 {8 s( e8 Z" Y9 c- q" l1 W4 v G& z6 z这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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S3 A2 o% e, E! P这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破+ Y- @; Q6 ?: G& ^
. x3 x( V% f& b. k了8.7万美元。$ m9 [% i7 F* |, q" ]/ H J6 g
+ J% t0 O0 U, s j1 I, ~1 p1 K! C2 C
然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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$ g H' T4 M! d7 _0 J. r“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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; G9 m4 w7 C5 L5 ]5 B* r6 ?4 z分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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. \$ L C5 d6 Q“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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" R8 l5 F- c3 }- T* cCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
, N- u4 n. [9 H1 V6 Z9 Q( S5 F! g1 b" o: o, j$ _ n B- o7 p! P
易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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