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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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" J y% I; {* P! k( H报告中特别强调了这一论断。
1 J9 F* w% S! {# N6 _. K8 i美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。7 M; v5 q+ Y4 f1 h/ E
9 J4 g' A2 \; F2 k“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”4 x' z: ^9 S4 ?7 K: F" E6 T$ j
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1 F, d. G& c, Z8 a. ?7 }* M根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。+ [5 {5 o, a! H" W/ B" { p+ V
* j; p$ X* ], r; l: `Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推9 t" z- L; N; N9 f* i# s
# C! r( k/ m9 g2 h, R高黄金和比特币的价格。& @/ s4 s- Q+ h/ @! O7 P' K+ V
! p V: \# |8 P! \
下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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# U% }' c4 C# G* {剂。
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9 ?$ }- E$ O1 d& M1 c6 I D这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。$ M) j% i% Y6 Y; ~6 n
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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+ w, Z: n# Q/ f2 `了8.7万美元。7 N/ P% Y4 k1 W. A, H) O
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
" I1 Q2 _+ @9 I$ W% P
/ @9 ~( K% Q. l0 W* ]- X6 H“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”! V1 m* k# J3 }
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。) P% }$ q }# l! B# b. j" W2 r
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交+ E6 |- H$ j% y& a9 ^& A
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。* u1 r- R, ~: C; c! D/ ?
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