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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。
4 C2 I" o% T% `+ t; Z以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因.
* y. X2 ^# n7 G# a) j' Q. ^此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。 7 \9 g& d8 n7 i* C% P3 B
以太坊基金集体亏损 ! ^8 K/ p C: M/ [5 L# X
根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。 6 [0 m- Y4 u* g% n: T
与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
; p4 W* o: \# H与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。 / f( b& s3 s8 I p% U1 |: L Q
( n4 F- i$ W! V8 h+ k# t
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流入/流出加密资金(按资产)
) h, {9 |8 t6 I8 Y. Z. Y" @: k1 _- x这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 ' }* W, ?4 v% f! T* r& J8 d9 K; d
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。 ' R% t2 I( s9 @
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/ i, I2 |1 Q0 T8 b# P- ^4 e6月5日的TVL以太坊
( V5 R' q; Z$ F& a. v但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。
$ P8 B( t$ L( M/ R宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。 : Z. n4 K" S5 [2 j8 V
男性讲述金融时报: 7 D* v# B8 i6 M- U; U+ _! m+ K* x
“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面 % V: n2 [$ K; @5 ?7 N# R
自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。
) ~- j4 x/ C/ O' i* k具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
- I% E, l8 V; u2 U5 n3 E根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。
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: N2 _) T) M2 g; aETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置 6 w+ A; P. |9 }$ f/ V @3 v
如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
& Z F( P# g x# q! O3 g! G( w4 B交易所的ETH储备正在增加 S# ]: _& R4 r# o
CryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出. & Y/ O9 T3 ^; J6 @
自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。 ' V3 h% i) |1 s7 U4 v/ h# o
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编辑切换为居中
3 E8 `2 X+ k6 K- f+ O' g8 ?以太坊外汇储备
# F8 u9 j$ m* Z9 n通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。
. g8 U- y$ J5 X/ \; |: k来源：金色财经 |
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