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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 + W$ C2 [/ _/ ~# `
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其实原文标题不是这样的, g+ L& g. `5 a t
9 E0 {! Q! M& z ?; \. c+ h$ `这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!' c# t: k; S z
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...( E" \6 M1 L; q, U/ j8 k1 L9 b
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
8 ?- G- R7 e0 U! j. R2 @1 h& [& [8 z7 i1 G- u& A7 N& s1 {( t
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。, r: d+ b1 L2 }' [' V0 D. D8 s
# o' l0 R' M1 u; e 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
2 O; K3 ]. y/ I5 A; d & V9 ?; w8 f" H" W0 B; d" p' g
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 k! v) r U0 A" h% M
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」2 L/ r+ ~0 P! A" d! T9 m5 w' c. G
6 w- x( Z, c: S" s+ _6 ]2 ? 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，5 @ Y0 ~9 G7 S6 p3 x, ^1 S
因此铜板较容易出现正面。2 g0 `7 M$ Q! a8 j& s' g
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
* G$ h [- E$ }因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
& K/ {4 Q7 y7 k( @6 t* I- _# r心想赢定了。4 b {; H, i. U% D& I [
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
* P9 T( N5 x; o- u赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」: v0 @. Z/ I1 D6 C; T
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
9 C' j- [% Y0 d X$ @6 T" s V3 { F1 x1 o但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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, N" {3 Y4 m$ n; h/ d# R$ z赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
# G0 H/ @ t; a0 v他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 - y$ L6 x: h6 q
上帝回答道：( n% _/ U& C/ t# q9 B v1 D7 i
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」) J1 [! t- A5 i3 c
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
% s0 K3 f" n8 {7 f# G: N「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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" a2 R6 |- \: c+ h5 b3 ^ 赌徒恍然大悟，
8 |2 k/ A2 e) v. k1 Q3 t原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，3 \) ]) \5 A3 Q. `
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
+ G( d' O& N6 c; i「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」& Y, K5 U# j6 I7 F r5 `! ]0 Z4 `0 o) \
上帝说完便不见踪影。 # J, B* O0 ~# f4 O3 Z1 L, C, _
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
1 e/ h; u" ?, h ~若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
& I- t( [# S' q& t0 T1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
) q! A! h% x- Z: h% X& Q6 h2 ~对赌徒十分有利。" p1 F) t6 h- \* O; g
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
* @/ @8 Y* x' S/ E) d$ |! P6 M9 c在还没掷到1000次之前，
1 i8 b( A$ q2 _8 Q) x- L' S仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
! }+ _5 u( H* _+ b: D( x( a- I) Y$ U) Q6 p4 a: c: A4 z1 f
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。7 [5 L3 M( r: w' L. O1 `
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ - A3 o" p9 N3 Z3 }; p
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